BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
TCU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
TCU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.45 |
36.95 (+6.49) |
33.40 |
36.31 (+2.91) |
36.55 (+0.24) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
464.36 |
503.64 (+39.27) |
435.40 |
498.08 (+62.68) |
500.17 (+2.08) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.18 |
6.57 (+0.39) |
6.16 |
6.68 (+0.52) |
6.64 (-0.04) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.82 |
20.37 (-9.45) |
37.00 |
43.46 (+6.46) |
34.80 (-8.66) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
420.91 |
378.90 (-42.01) |
376.20 |
414.70 (+38.50) |
401.28 (-13.42) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.79 |
5.42 (-0.37) |
5.61 |
6.27 (+0.66) |
5.95 (-0.32) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Stanford |
37.81 |
27.32 |
-10.49 |
65.13 |
66.83% |
W 34-27 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Long Island University |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-0 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UCF |
40.64 |
38.98 |
-1.67 |
79.62 |
52.67% |
L 34-35 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@SMU |
31.04 |
51.99 |
+20.95 |
83.02 |
16.40% |
L 42-66 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Kansas |
31.70 |
39.29 |
+7.58 |
70.99 |
37.84% |
W 38-27 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-04 |
Houston |
30.05 |
23.96 |
-6.09 |
54.00 |
59.77% |
L 19-30 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Utah |
23.31 |
31.77 |
+8.46 |
55.07 |
36.43% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Texas Tech |
32.00 |
45.96 |
+13.96 |
77.97 |
27.61% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Baylor |
38.71 |
42.22 |
+3.51 |
80.93 |
44.37% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Oklahoma State |
40.86 |
40.89 |
+0.03 |
81.74 |
49.96% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Arizona |
32.46 |
41.80 |
+9.34 |
74.27 |
35.02% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Cincinnati |
31.66 |
42.78 |
+11.12 |
74.43 |
32.16% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
5.63% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
21.35% |
5.63% |
94.37% |
| 5-7 |
32.87% |
26.98% |
73.02% |
| 6-6 |
25.90% |
59.85% |
40.15% |
| 7-5 |
11.36% |
85.75% |
14.25% |
| 8-4 |
2.64% |
97.11% |
2.89% |
| 9-3 |
0.25% |
99.75% |
0.25% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.17% |
| 2-10 |
1.77% |
| 3-9 |
6.86% |
| 4-8 |
16.18% |
| 5-7 |
23.66% |
| 6-6 |
23.94% |
| 7-5 |
16.38% |
| 8-4 |
7.90% |
| 9-3 |
2.55% |
| 10-2 |
0.51% |
| 11-1 |
0.07% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |