BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024

TCU 2024 Season Summary

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National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.67 26.67 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.37 377.37 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.72 5.72 (+0.00)

TCU 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.45 36.95 (+6.49) 31.89 31.70 (-0.19) 31.70 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 464.36 503.64 (+39.27) 439.22 438.28 (-0.94) 438.28 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.18 6.57 (+0.39) 6.46 6.51 (+0.05) 6.51 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 29.82 20.37 (-9.45) 30.67 30.66 (-0.01) 30.66 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 420.91 378.90 (-42.01) 383.67 378.10 (-5.56) 378.10 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.79 5.42 (-0.37) 5.44 5.36 (-0.08) 5.36 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 @Stanford 38.24 25.47 -12.78 63.71 70.49% W 34-27 1-0
2024-09-08 Long Island University Non-FBS Opponent W 45-0 2-0
2024-09-14 UCF 37.45 42.00 +4.55 79.46 42.70% L 34-35 2-1
2024-09-21 @SMU 29.65 47.38 +17.73 77.03 21.57% L 42-66 2-2
2024-09-28 @Kansas 29.64 38.09 +8.45 67.73 36.44% W 38-27 3-2
2024-10-04 Houston 29.10 19.40 -9.70 48.50 65.56% L 19-30 3-3
2024-10-20 @Utah 24.59 24.79 +0.20 49.37 49.68% W 13-7 4-3
2024-10-26 Texas Tech 36.09 38.44 +2.35 74.53 46.23% W 35-34 5-3
2024-11-03 @Baylor 34.58 44.86 +10.28 79.44 33.51% L 34-37 5-4
2024-11-10 Oklahoma State 40.11 30.07 -10.03 70.18 66.09% W 38-13 6-4
2024-11-23 Arizona 36.58 27.18 -9.40 63.76 65.08% n/a n/a
2024-11-30 @Cincinnati 25.38 36.10 +10.72 61.48 32.81% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-6 23.44% 0.00% 100.00%
7-5 55.32% 23.44% 76.56%
8-4 21.25% 78.76% 21.24%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.05%
2-10 0.51%
3-9 2.89%
4-8 9.16%
5-7 18.15%
6-6 24.47%
7-5 22.58%
8-4 14.22%
9-3 6.05%
10-2 1.67%
11-1 0.25%
12-0 0.01%