BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Cincinnati 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Cincinnati 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
20.27 |
24.32 (+4.05) |
26.22 |
28.83 (+2.61) |
28.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
392.73 |
410.66 (+17.94) |
404.67 |
443.89 (+39.22) |
443.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.41 |
5.57 (+0.16) |
5.91 |
6.41 (+0.50) |
6.41 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.55 |
25.68 (-5.86) |
23.78 |
21.19 (-2.59) |
21.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
402.27 |
385.03 (-17.24) |
380.11 |
360.70 (-19.41) |
360.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.91 |
6.60 (-0.31) |
6.13 |
6.03 (-0.10) |
6.03 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Towson |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-20 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Pittsburgh |
28.63 |
24.62 |
-4.01 |
53.25 |
56.43% |
L 27-28 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Miami (OH) |
22.51 |
15.05 |
-7.45 |
37.56 |
61.96% |
W 27-16 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Houston |
26.89 |
10.07 |
-16.82 |
36.96 |
76.97% |
W 34-0 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@Texas Tech |
31.05 |
32.95 |
+1.90 |
64.00 |
46.95% |
L 41-44 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@UCF |
32.53 |
32.35 |
-0.18 |
64.88 |
50.29% |
W 19-13 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Arizona State |
26.14 |
25.47 |
-0.67 |
51.61 |
51.07% |
W 24-14 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Colorado |
24.18 |
34.50 |
+10.31 |
58.68 |
33.46% |
L 23-34 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-09 |
West Virginia |
34.56 |
25.08 |
-9.48 |
59.63 |
65.21% |
L 24-31 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-17 |
@Iowa State |
20.45 |
29.66 |
+9.21 |
50.11 |
35.23% |
L 17-34 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Kansas State |
23.36 |
27.38 |
+4.01 |
50.74 |
43.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
TCU |
36.10 |
25.38 |
-10.72 |
61.48 |
67.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
18.62% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
51.99% |
18.62% |
81.38% |
| 7-5 |
29.38% |
70.62% |
29.38% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.23% |
| 3-9 |
1.33% |
| 4-8 |
5.07% |
| 5-7 |
12.62% |
| 6-6 |
21.17% |
| 7-5 |
24.50% |
| 8-4 |
19.77% |
| 9-3 |
10.75% |
| 10-2 |
3.69% |
| 11-1 |
0.79% |
| 12-0 |
0.07% |