BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Cincinnati 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Cincinnati 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
20.27 |
24.32 (+4.05) |
29.60 |
36.89 (+7.29) |
32.18 (-4.71) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
392.73 |
410.66 (+17.94) |
353.40 |
377.98 (+24.58) |
390.24 (+12.26) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.41 |
5.57 (+0.16) |
5.07 |
5.50 (+0.43) |
5.52 (+0.03) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.55 |
25.68 (-5.86) |
20.20 |
20.49 (+0.29) |
22.44 (+1.95) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
402.27 |
385.03 (-17.24) |
318.60 |
321.06 (+2.46) |
345.05 (+23.99) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.91 |
6.60 (-0.31) |
5.08 |
5.10 (+0.02) |
5.66 (+0.56) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Towson |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-20 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Pittsburgh |
31.48 |
24.72 |
-6.75 |
56.20 |
60.83% |
L 27-28 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Miami (OH) |
28.01 |
15.33 |
-12.68 |
43.34 |
70.34% |
W 27-16 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Houston |
26.81 |
12.75 |
-14.06 |
39.57 |
72.55% |
W 34-0 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@Texas Tech |
26.27 |
35.08 |
+8.81 |
61.36 |
35.86% |
L 41-44 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@UCF |
33.08 |
28.74 |
-4.33 |
61.82 |
56.95% |
W 19-13 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Arizona State |
28.61 |
25.99 |
-2.62 |
54.59 |
54.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Colorado |
32.59 |
32.96 |
+0.37 |
65.55 |
49.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
West Virginia |
30.78 |
28.34 |
-2.44 |
59.12 |
53.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Iowa State |
20.41 |
33.25 |
+12.84 |
53.66 |
29.40% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Kansas State |
21.39 |
37.44 |
+16.05 |
58.84 |
24.25% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
TCU |
42.78 |
31.66 |
-11.12 |
74.43 |
67.84% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
1.87% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
11.44% |
1.87% |
98.13% |
| 6-6 |
27.12% |
13.31% |
86.69% |
| 7-5 |
32.43% |
40.43% |
59.57% |
| 8-4 |
20.28% |
72.86% |
27.14% |
| 9-3 |
6.20% |
93.14% |
6.86% |
| 10-2 |
0.66% |
99.34% |
0.66% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.24% |
| 3-9 |
1.57% |
| 4-8 |
5.69% |
| 5-7 |
13.64% |
| 6-6 |
22.15% |
| 7-5 |
24.67% |
| 8-4 |
18.75% |
| 9-3 |
9.51% |
| 10-2 |
3.11% |
| 11-1 |
0.59% |
| 12-0 |
0.05% |