BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024

Houston 2024 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.64 26.66 (+0.02)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 374.92 376.36 (+1.44)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.77 5.75 (-0.02)

Houston 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 23.67 32.67 (+9.01) 13.67 11.21 (-2.46) 16.57 (+5.37)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 351.33 356.87 (+5.54) 296.67 290.54 (-6.13) 307.12 (+16.58)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.62 5.54 (-0.08) 5.02 5.32 (+0.30) 5.38 (+0.06)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 31.50 30.91 (-0.59) 20.50 15.51 (-4.99) 19.36 (+3.85)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 421.92 378.76 (-43.15) 295.50 284.89 (-10.61) 308.36 (+23.47)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.94 5.71 (-0.23) 4.96 4.91 (-0.05) 5.11 (+0.20)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.5

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 UNLV 18.56 30.10 +11.54 48.66 31.48% L 7-27 0-1
2024-09-07 @Oklahoma 6.60 30.91 +24.31 37.51 11.01% L 12-16 0-2
2024-09-15 Rice 27.23 19.22 -8.02 46.45 62.86% W 33-7 1-2
2024-09-21 @Cincinnati 12.75 26.81 +14.06 39.57 27.45% L 0-34 1-3
2024-09-28 Iowa State 8.71 26.87 +18.17 35.58 20.86% L 0-20 1-4
2024-10-04 @TCU 23.96 30.05 +6.09 54.00 40.23% W 30-19 2-4
2024-10-19 @Kansas 12.91 22.59 +9.68 35.50 34.47% n/a n/a
2024-10-26 Utah 8.81 14.68 +5.86 23.49 40.60% n/a n/a
2024-11-02 Kansas State 7.83 30.16 +22.33 37.99 14.18% n/a n/a
2024-11-16 @Arizona 12.19 25.97 +13.78 38.16 27.90% n/a n/a
2024-11-23 Baylor 19.78 22.59 +2.81 42.37 45.50% n/a n/a
2024-11-30 @BYU 10.48 27.77 +17.29 38.25 22.28% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
2-10 10.32% 0.00% 100.00%
3-9 29.28% 10.32% 89.68%
4-8 33.83% 39.60% 60.40%
5-7 19.46% 73.44% 26.56%
6-6 6.07% 92.90% 7.10%
7-5 0.98% 98.97% 1.03%
8-4 0.05% 99.95% 0.05%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.82%
1-11 5.08%
2-10 14.44%
3-9 23.41%
4-8 25.05%
5-7 17.90%
6-6 9.05%
7-5 3.27%
8-4 0.83%
9-3 0.14%
10-2 0.01%