BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Rice 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Rice 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.64 |
32.96 (+5.32) |
16.80 |
22.41 (+5.61) |
26.37 (+3.95) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
361.55 |
346.42 (-15.12) |
310.20 |
321.26 (+11.06) |
330.70 (+9.44) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
5.56 (-0.25) |
5.13 |
5.29 (+0.15) |
5.39 (+0.10) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.45 |
33.42 (+4.96) |
30.40 |
39.08 (+8.68) |
36.95 (-2.12) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
387.73 |
416.09 (+28.36) |
379.60 |
435.93 (+56.33) |
428.49 (-7.44) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.87 |
6.45 (+0.59) |
5.49 |
5.98 (+0.49) |
6.16 (+0.18) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Sam Houston |
29.79 |
34.93 |
+5.13 |
64.72 |
41.77% |
L 14-34 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Texas Southern |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 69-7 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
@Houston |
19.22 |
27.23 |
+8.02 |
46.45 |
37.14% |
L 7-33 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Army |
21.77 |
44.68 |
+22.91 |
66.45 |
13.26% |
L 14-37 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Charlotte |
31.39 |
27.00 |
-4.38 |
58.39 |
57.03% |
L 20-21 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
UTSA |
37.72 |
23.23 |
-14.49 |
60.95 |
73.24% |
W 29-27 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Tulane |
25.43 |
53.78 |
+28.35 |
79.21 |
4.53% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@UConn |
25.56 |
42.72 |
+17.16 |
68.28 |
22.48% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Navy |
27.17 |
37.16 |
+9.99 |
64.33 |
33.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Memphis |
25.86 |
41.96 |
+16.10 |
67.82 |
24.18% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@UAB |
38.18 |
35.45 |
-2.72 |
73.63 |
54.37% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
South Florida |
37.00 |
33.09 |
-3.91 |
70.09 |
56.27% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
7.25% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
27.15% |
7.25% |
92.75% |
| 4-8 |
36.08% |
34.40% |
65.60% |
| 5-7 |
22.22% |
70.48% |
29.52% |
| 6-6 |
6.47% |
92.71% |
7.29% |
| 7-5 |
0.80% |
99.18% |
0.82% |
| 8-4 |
0.02% |
99.98% |
0.02% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.24% |
| 2-10 |
2.45% |
| 3-9 |
9.64% |
| 4-8 |
20.32% |
| 5-7 |
26.61% |
| 6-6 |
22.59% |
| 7-5 |
12.49% |
| 8-4 |
4.50% |
| 9-3 |
1.03% |
| 10-2 |
0.13% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |