BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024

Memphis 2024 Season Summary

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National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.67 26.67 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.37 377.37 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.72 5.72 (+0.00)

Memphis 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 38.18 36.17 (-2.01) 34.80 31.10 (-3.70) 31.10 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 439.73 417.16 (-22.57) 448.90 429.20 (-19.70) 429.20 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.51 6.09 (-0.42) 6.09 5.79 (-0.30) 5.79 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 30.36 29.20 (-1.17) 24.90 28.47 (+3.57) 28.47 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 442.09 461.54 (+19.45) 371.60 396.65 (+25.05) 396.65 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.48 6.80 (+0.32) 5.88 6.23 (+0.35) 6.23 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.6

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 North Alabama Non-FBS Opponent W 40-0 1-0
2024-09-07 Troy 35.22 20.60 -14.62 55.82 73.45% W 38-17 2-0
2024-09-14 @Florida State 27.72 18.40 -9.32 46.11 64.95% W 20-12 3-0
2024-09-21 @Navy 28.63 34.68 +6.06 63.31 40.29% L 44-56 3-1
2024-09-28 Middle Tennessee 42.90 14.05 -28.86 56.95 96.28% W 24-7 4-1
2024-10-12 @South Florida 33.62 28.67 -4.95 62.29 57.95% W 21-3 5-1
2024-10-19 North Texas 43.68 36.78 -6.90 80.46 61.06% W 52-44 6-1
2024-10-26 Charlotte 40.49 23.21 -17.28 63.70 77.72% W 33-28 7-1
2024-11-02 @UTSA 38.19 30.05 -8.14 68.24 63.05% L 36-44 7-2
2024-11-09 Rice 32.70 21.67 -11.04 54.37 67.70% W 27-20 8-2
2024-11-17 UAB 46.00 25.44 -20.56 71.44 82.97% W 53-18 9-2
2024-11-29 @Tulane 22.85 45.16 +22.31 68.01 14.22% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
9-3 85.76% 0.00% 100.00%
10-2 14.24% 85.76% 14.24%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.01%
3-9 0.09%
4-8 0.78%
5-7 3.54%
6-6 10.49%
7-5 20.89%
8-4 27.00%
9-3 22.70%
10-2 11.44%
11-1 2.81%
12-0 0.26%