BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Memphis 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Memphis 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
38.18 |
36.17 (-2.01) |
29.40 |
25.42 (-3.98) |
29.45 (+4.03) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
439.73 |
417.16 (-22.57) |
425.60 |
369.06 (-56.54) |
387.09 (+18.04) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.51 |
6.09 (-0.42) |
5.74 |
4.58 (-1.16) |
5.15 (+0.57) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.36 |
29.20 (-1.17) |
19.00 |
23.77 (+4.77) |
25.81 (+2.03) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
442.09 |
461.54 (+19.45) |
328.00 |
354.53 (+26.53) |
394.66 (+40.13) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.48 |
6.80 (+0.32) |
5.93 |
6.01 (+0.08) |
6.31 (+0.30) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
North Alabama |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 40-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Troy |
30.35 |
25.70 |
-4.65 |
56.04 |
57.45% |
W 38-17 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Florida State |
21.53 |
25.70 |
+4.17 |
47.23 |
43.31% |
W 20-12 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Navy |
28.38 |
27.64 |
-0.74 |
56.01 |
51.19% |
L 44-56 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Middle Tennessee |
45.37 |
17.64 |
-27.73 |
63.02 |
94.48% |
W 24-7 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@South Florida |
38.21 |
25.36 |
-12.84 |
63.57 |
70.60% |
W 21-3 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
North Texas |
47.36 |
37.24 |
-10.12 |
84.60 |
66.24% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Charlotte |
35.09 |
17.50 |
-17.60 |
52.59 |
78.22% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@UTSA |
36.02 |
18.11 |
-17.91 |
54.13 |
78.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Rice |
41.96 |
25.86 |
-16.10 |
67.82 |
75.82% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
UAB |
43.85 |
21.55 |
-22.30 |
65.40 |
85.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@Tulane |
28.23 |
42.31 |
+14.09 |
70.54 |
27.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.04% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
0.74% |
0.04% |
99.96% |
| 7-5 |
5.39% |
0.78% |
99.22% |
| 8-4 |
19.90% |
6.17% |
93.83% |
| 9-3 |
36.15% |
26.08% |
73.92% |
| 10-2 |
30.51% |
62.22% |
37.78% |
| 11-1 |
7.27% |
92.73% |
7.27% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.05% |
| 4-8 |
0.44% |
| 5-7 |
2.34% |
| 6-6 |
7.85% |
| 7-5 |
17.83% |
| 8-4 |
26.19% |
| 9-3 |
25.00% |
| 10-2 |
14.96% |
| 11-1 |
4.71% |
| 12-0 |
0.63% |