BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
UAB 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
UAB 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.45 |
29.07 (-0.38) |
16.20 |
18.41 (+2.21) |
22.41 (+4.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
426.64 |
396.29 (-30.35) |
312.00 |
320.51 (+8.51) |
348.93 (+28.42) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.26 |
5.81 (-0.45) |
4.96 |
5.04 (+0.08) |
5.33 (+0.29) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
39.73 |
41.30 (+1.57) |
45.00 |
37.53 (-7.47) |
38.94 (+1.41) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
446.82 |
458.86 (+12.04) |
434.80 |
360.51 (-74.29) |
397.39 (+36.88) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.35 |
6.61 (+0.26) |
7.15 |
5.98 (-1.17) |
6.22 (+0.24) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Alcorn State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@UL Monroe |
13.67 |
33.66 |
+19.99 |
47.33 |
17.93% |
L 6-32 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Arkansas |
18.71 |
43.72 |
+25.02 |
62.43 |
9.88% |
L 27-37 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Navy |
23.71 |
39.30 |
+15.58 |
63.01 |
25.00% |
L 18-41 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Tulane |
25.18 |
51.84 |
+26.67 |
77.02 |
7.23% |
L 20-71 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Army |
17.89 |
46.87 |
+28.98 |
64.76 |
3.52% |
L 10-44 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@South Florida |
29.71 |
37.11 |
+7.40 |
66.82 |
38.13% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Tulsa |
35.08 |
23.73 |
-11.36 |
58.81 |
68.21% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
UConn |
25.98 |
44.59 |
+18.60 |
70.57 |
20.16% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Memphis |
21.55 |
43.85 |
+22.30 |
65.40 |
14.24% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Rice |
35.45 |
38.18 |
+2.72 |
73.63 |
45.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Charlotte |
24.35 |
30.70 |
+6.35 |
55.05 |
39.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
4.30% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
20.66% |
4.30% |
95.70% |
| 3-9 |
34.61% |
24.97% |
75.03% |
| 4-8 |
27.30% |
59.57% |
40.43% |
| 5-7 |
10.97% |
86.88% |
13.12% |
| 6-6 |
2.02% |
97.84% |
2.16% |
| 7-5 |
0.13% |
99.87% |
0.13% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
2.15% |
| 2-10 |
11.84% |
| 3-9 |
25.77% |
| 4-8 |
29.05% |
| 5-7 |
19.84% |
| 6-6 |
8.49% |
| 7-5 |
2.37% |
| 8-4 |
0.44% |
| 9-3 |
0.04% |
| 10-2 |
0.00% |