BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
UAB 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
UAB 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.45 |
29.07 (-0.38) |
22.89 |
23.80 (+0.91) |
23.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
426.64 |
396.29 (-30.35) |
370.00 |
375.08 (+5.08) |
375.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.26 |
5.81 (-0.45) |
5.56 |
5.54 (-0.02) |
5.54 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
39.73 |
41.30 (+1.57) |
40.56 |
38.47 (-2.09) |
38.47 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
446.82 |
458.86 (+12.04) |
426.33 |
413.53 (-12.80) |
413.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.35 |
6.61 (+0.26) |
6.35 |
6.28 (-0.07) |
6.28 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Alcorn State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@UL Monroe |
25.81 |
31.14 |
+5.33 |
56.95 |
41.46% |
L 6-32 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Arkansas |
23.72 |
45.16 |
+21.43 |
68.88 |
15.62% |
L 27-37 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Navy |
24.68 |
42.82 |
+18.13 |
67.50 |
20.91% |
L 18-41 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Tulane |
20.17 |
52.12 |
+31.95 |
72.30 |
0.10% |
L 20-71 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Army |
10.59 |
43.25 |
+32.66 |
53.84 |
0.10% |
L 10-44 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@South Florida |
25.80 |
38.02 |
+12.23 |
63.82 |
30.39% |
L 25-35 |
1-6 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Tulsa |
40.52 |
25.32 |
-15.20 |
65.84 |
74.38% |
W 59-21 |
2-6 |
| 2024-11-09 |
UConn |
26.57 |
33.02 |
+6.45 |
59.59 |
39.65% |
L 23-31 |
2-7 |
| 2024-11-17 |
@Memphis |
25.44 |
46.00 |
+20.56 |
71.44 |
17.03% |
L 18-53 |
2-8 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Rice |
26.77 |
30.55 |
+3.78 |
57.31 |
43.94% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Charlotte |
29.94 |
34.52 |
+4.58 |
64.47 |
42.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
32.42% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
49.11% |
32.42% |
67.58% |
| 4-8 |
18.47% |
81.53% |
18.47% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
1.12% |
| 2-10 |
7.81% |
| 3-9 |
20.59% |
| 4-8 |
28.90% |
| 5-7 |
24.10% |
| 6-6 |
12.60% |
| 7-5 |
4.02% |
| 8-4 |
0.78% |
| 9-3 |
0.08% |
| 10-2 |
0.00% |