BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Navy 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Navy 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
17.09 |
11.85 (-5.24) |
30.22 |
29.95 (-0.27) |
29.95 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
274.64 |
231.50 (-43.14) |
359.00 |
366.84 (+7.84) |
366.84 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.71 |
4.07 (-0.64) |
6.30 |
6.46 (+0.16) |
6.46 (+0.00) |
Defense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.45 |
21.75 (-2.71) |
23.78 |
24.03 (+0.25) |
24.03 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
337.73 |
351.40 (+13.67) |
383.44 |
400.03 (+16.58) |
400.03 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.76 |
6.17 (+0.41) |
5.68 |
6.01 (+0.33) |
6.01 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-08-31 |
Bucknell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-21 |
1-0 |
2024-09-07 |
Temple |
40.30 |
15.46 |
-24.84 |
55.76 |
89.84% |
W 38-11 |
2-0 |
2024-09-21 |
Memphis |
34.68 |
28.63 |
-6.06 |
63.31 |
59.71% |
W 56-44 |
3-0 |
2024-09-28 |
@UAB |
42.82 |
24.68 |
-18.13 |
67.50 |
79.09% |
W 41-18 |
4-0 |
2024-10-05 |
@Air Force |
27.55 |
15.42 |
-12.13 |
42.98 |
69.46% |
W 34-7 |
5-0 |
2024-10-19 |
Charlotte |
39.89 |
19.13 |
-20.76 |
59.03 |
83.30% |
W 51-17 |
6-0 |
2024-10-26 |
Notre Dame |
18.29 |
38.22 |
+19.94 |
56.51 |
18.02% |
L 14-51 |
6-1 |
2024-11-02 |
@Rice |
29.55 |
20.36 |
-9.19 |
49.91 |
64.73% |
L 10-24 |
6-2 |
2024-11-09 |
@South Florida |
32.09 |
24.46 |
-7.63 |
56.56 |
62.24% |
W 28-7 |
7-2 |
2024-11-16 |
Tulane |
24.86 |
35.94 |
+11.08 |
60.80 |
32.22% |
L 0-35 |
7-3 |
2024-11-29 |
@East Carolina |
36.42 |
28.27 |
-8.16 |
64.69 |
63.08% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-12-14 |
@Army |
14.56 |
27.26 |
+12.70 |
41.82 |
29.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
7-5 |
26.05% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
8-4 |
55.39% |
26.05% |
73.95% |
9-3 |
18.56% |
81.44% |
18.56% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
1-11 |
0.00% |
2-10 |
0.03% |
3-9 |
0.26% |
4-8 |
1.58% |
5-7 |
6.38% |
6-6 |
15.62% |
7-5 |
25.20% |
8-4 |
26.00% |
9-3 |
17.01% |
10-2 |
6.47% |
11-1 |
1.33% |
12-0 |
0.12% |