BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Navy 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Navy 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
17.09 |
11.85 (-5.24) |
42.25 |
40.48 (-1.77) |
26.16 (-14.31) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
274.64 |
231.50 (-43.14) |
470.25 |
495.23 (+24.98) |
363.36 (-131.87) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.71 |
4.07 (-0.64) |
8.47 |
8.80 (+0.33) |
6.43 (-2.37) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.45 |
21.75 (-2.71) |
20.00 |
27.04 (+7.04) |
24.39 (-2.64) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
337.73 |
351.40 (+13.67) |
394.50 |
453.94 (+59.44) |
402.67 (-51.27) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.76 |
6.17 (+0.41) |
5.68 |
6.62 (+0.94) |
6.39 (-0.23) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Bucknell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-21 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Temple |
37.62 |
14.93 |
-22.69 |
52.55 |
86.39% |
W 38-11 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Memphis |
27.64 |
28.38 |
+0.74 |
56.01 |
48.81% |
W 56-44 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UAB |
39.30 |
23.71 |
-15.58 |
63.01 |
75.00% |
W 41-18 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Air Force |
25.52 |
12.27 |
-13.25 |
37.79 |
71.25% |
W 34-7 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Charlotte |
30.82 |
16.27 |
-14.56 |
47.09 |
73.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Notre Dame |
16.41 |
39.11 |
+22.69 |
55.52 |
13.61% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Rice |
37.16 |
27.17 |
-9.99 |
64.33 |
66.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@South Florida |
33.86 |
24.12 |
-9.74 |
57.98 |
65.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Tulane |
28.60 |
36.86 |
+8.25 |
65.46 |
36.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@East Carolina |
32.78 |
18.63 |
-14.15 |
51.42 |
72.69% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-12-14 |
@Army |
20.75 |
30.60 |
+9.85 |
51.35 |
34.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.32% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
3.31% |
0.32% |
99.68% |
| 7-5 |
13.51% |
3.63% |
96.37% |
| 8-4 |
28.14% |
17.14% |
82.86% |
| 9-3 |
31.70% |
45.28% |
54.72% |
| 10-2 |
17.95% |
76.99% |
23.01% |
| 11-1 |
4.62% |
94.94% |
5.06% |
| 12-0 |
0.44% |
99.56% |
0.44% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.37% |
| 4-8 |
2.06% |
| 5-7 |
7.16% |
| 6-6 |
16.14% |
| 7-5 |
25.02% |
| 8-4 |
25.45% |
| 9-3 |
16.35% |
| 10-2 |
6.09% |
| 11-1 |
1.24% |
| 12-0 |
0.10% |