BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024

Tulsa 2024 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.64 26.66 (+0.02)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 374.92 376.36 (+1.44)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.77 5.75 (-0.02)

Tulsa 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 21.73 20.39 (-1.34) 16.80 10.51 (-6.29) 14.22 (+3.70)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 367.73 353.09 (-14.63) 337.40 262.99 (-74.41) 296.78 (+33.79)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.20 4.93 (-0.28) 4.94 4.19 (-0.75) 4.46 (+0.28)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 36.27 34.86 (-1.41) 38.80 37.79 (-1.01) 36.69 (-1.10)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 452.82 475.92 (+23.10) 469.80 449.69 (-20.11) 459.52 (+9.84)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 7.00 7.39 (+0.39) 7.74 7.52 (-0.22) 7.47 (-0.05)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.0

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-30 Northwestern State Non-FBS Opponent W 62-28 1-0
2024-09-07 @Arkansas State 18.50 34.88 +16.38 53.38 23.73% L 24-28 1-1
2024-09-14 Oklahoma State 16.17 44.29 +28.12 60.46 4.90% L 10-45 1-2
2024-09-21 @Louisiana Tech 19.01 30.96 +11.95 49.97 30.84% W 23-20 2-2
2024-09-28 @North Texas 25.60 52.92 +27.32 78.52 6.18% L 20-52 2-3
2024-10-05 Army 11.46 41.56 +30.10 53.01 1.72% L 7-49 2-4
2024-10-19 @Temple 20.10 27.96 +7.87 48.06 37.38% n/a n/a
2024-10-26 UTSA 22.73 28.20 +5.47 50.92 41.22% n/a n/a
2024-11-02 @UAB 23.73 35.08 +11.36 58.81 31.79% n/a n/a
2024-11-15 East Carolina 20.22 26.89 +6.67 47.12 39.30% n/a n/a
2024-11-23 @South Florida 20.07 35.71 +15.64 55.78 24.91% n/a n/a
2024-11-30 Florida Atlantic 15.74 30.57 +14.83 46.31 26.21% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
2-10 8.39% 0.00% 100.00%
3-9 26.08% 8.39% 91.61%
4-8 33.30% 34.47% 65.53%
5-7 22.31% 67.76% 32.24%
6-6 8.19% 90.07% 9.93%
7-5 1.62% 98.26% 1.74%
8-4 0.12% 99.88% 0.12%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.01%
1-11 3.82%
2-10 15.52%
3-9 27.10%
4-8 27.13%
5-7 17.24%
6-6 6.96%
7-5 1.88%
8-4 0.32%
9-3 0.03%
10-2 0.00%