BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
UTSA 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
UTSA 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.67 |
31.67 (+0.00) |
29.67 |
26.98 (-2.68) |
26.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
359.44 |
333.91 (-25.53) |
333.91 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
4.31 |
3.93 (-0.38) |
3.93 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.67 |
24.67 (+0.00) |
34.78 |
34.13 (-0.64) |
34.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
332.56 |
316.52 (-16.04) |
316.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.00 |
4.99 (-0.01) |
4.99 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Kennesaw State |
36.44 |
20.44 |
-16.00 |
56.89 |
75.66% |
W 28-16 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Texas State |
23.64 |
50.91 |
+27.27 |
74.55 |
6.25% |
L 10-49 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Texas |
12.47 |
51.68 |
+39.22 |
64.15 |
0.10% |
L 7-56 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@East Carolina |
33.16 |
40.74 |
+7.59 |
73.90 |
37.83% |
L 20-30 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Rice |
24.60 |
29.16 |
+4.57 |
53.76 |
42.68% |
L 27-29 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Florida Atlantic |
32.75 |
23.59 |
-9.16 |
56.33 |
64.69% |
W 38-24 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Tulsa |
44.03 |
22.69 |
-21.34 |
66.72 |
84.24% |
L 45-46 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Memphis |
30.05 |
38.19 |
+8.14 |
68.24 |
36.95% |
W 44-36 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-16 |
North Texas |
37.33 |
44.63 |
+7.30 |
81.96 |
38.30% |
W 48-27 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Temple |
30.72 |
21.55 |
-9.18 |
52.27 |
64.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Army |
15.58 |
39.89 |
+24.31 |
55.47 |
11.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
31.75% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
61.21% |
31.75% |
68.25% |
| 7-5 |
7.04% |
92.96% |
7.04% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.05% |
| 2-10 |
0.83% |
| 3-9 |
4.95% |
| 4-8 |
14.78% |
| 5-7 |
25.97% |
| 6-6 |
27.43% |
| 7-5 |
17.85% |
| 8-4 |
6.64% |
| 9-3 |
1.38% |
| 10-2 |
0.14% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |