BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
UTSA 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
UTSA 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.67 |
31.67 (+0.00) |
18.40 |
16.51 (-1.89) |
16.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
223.00 |
179.15 (-43.85) |
179.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
2.85 |
2.71 (-0.14) |
2.71 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.67 |
24.67 (+0.00) |
36.00 |
37.27 (+1.27) |
37.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
272.20 |
271.02 (-1.18) |
271.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
4.18 |
4.30 (+0.12) |
4.30 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Kennesaw State |
28.54 |
13.06 |
-15.48 |
41.61 |
74.82% |
W 28-16 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Texas State |
20.03 |
57.99 |
+37.96 |
78.01 |
0.10% |
L 10-49 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Texas |
5.08 |
67.00 |
+61.92 |
72.07 |
0.10% |
L 7-56 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@East Carolina |
23.12 |
30.61 |
+7.49 |
53.73 |
37.98% |
L 20-30 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Rice |
23.23 |
37.72 |
+14.49 |
60.95 |
26.76% |
L 27-29 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Florida Atlantic |
18.11 |
30.53 |
+12.42 |
48.65 |
30.08% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Tulsa |
28.20 |
22.73 |
-5.47 |
50.92 |
58.78% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Memphis |
18.11 |
36.02 |
+17.91 |
54.13 |
21.28% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
North Texas |
28.98 |
49.05 |
+20.07 |
78.03 |
17.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Temple |
20.13 |
24.67 |
+4.54 |
44.81 |
42.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Army |
14.05 |
46.58 |
+32.54 |
60.63 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
10.80% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
33.08% |
10.80% |
89.20% |
| 4-8 |
35.35% |
43.88% |
56.12% |
| 5-7 |
16.89% |
79.23% |
20.77% |
| 6-6 |
3.58% |
96.12% |
3.88% |
| 7-5 |
0.30% |
99.70% |
0.30% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.18% |
| 2-10 |
8.76% |
| 3-9 |
23.07% |
| 4-8 |
30.52% |
| 5-7 |
23.25% |
| 6-6 |
10.12% |
| 7-5 |
2.72% |
| 8-4 |
0.36% |
| 9-3 |
0.02% |