BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Arkansas 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Arkansas 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.91 |
28.94 (+5.03) |
26.33 |
29.37 (+3.03) |
29.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
319.82 |
325.78 (+5.96) |
432.44 |
450.64 (+18.20) |
450.64 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.74 |
4.90 (+0.16) |
6.23 |
6.53 (+0.30) |
6.53 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.27 |
21.59 (-7.68) |
28.56 |
26.54 (-2.02) |
26.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
360.82 |
356.12 (-4.70) |
407.00 |
365.44 (-41.56) |
365.44 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
5.53 (-0.28) |
5.89 |
5.51 (-0.38) |
5.51 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 70-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Oklahoma State |
35.15 |
28.67 |
-6.48 |
63.82 |
60.40% |
L 31-39 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UAB |
45.16 |
23.72 |
-21.43 |
68.88 |
84.38% |
W 37-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Auburn |
23.68 |
27.53 |
+3.85 |
51.21 |
43.83% |
W 24-14 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Texas A&M |
21.32 |
33.54 |
+12.22 |
54.87 |
30.40% |
L 17-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Tennessee |
21.05 |
32.20 |
+11.15 |
53.25 |
32.12% |
W 19-14 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
LSU |
27.44 |
32.86 |
+5.42 |
60.29 |
41.31% |
L 10-34 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Mississippi State |
39.87 |
31.90 |
-7.97 |
71.77 |
62.78% |
W 58-25 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Ole Miss |
19.81 |
40.65 |
+20.84 |
60.46 |
16.58% |
L 31-63 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Texas |
17.18 |
39.30 |
+22.12 |
56.48 |
14.52% |
L 10-20 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Louisiana Tech |
29.49 |
14.58 |
-14.91 |
44.07 |
73.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Missouri |
24.11 |
30.79 |
+6.68 |
54.90 |
39.29% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
15.86% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
55.21% |
15.86% |
84.14% |
| 7-5 |
28.93% |
71.07% |
28.93% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.05% |
| 2-10 |
0.60% |
| 3-9 |
3.59% |
| 4-8 |
11.38% |
| 5-7 |
21.70% |
| 6-6 |
26.34% |
| 7-5 |
21.07% |
| 8-4 |
10.87% |
| 9-3 |
3.59% |
| 10-2 |
0.72% |
| 11-1 |
0.08% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |