BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Arkansas 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Arkansas 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.91 |
28.94 (+5.03) |
25.60 |
28.26 (+2.66) |
28.52 (+0.25) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
319.82 |
325.78 (+5.96) |
443.80 |
482.78 (+38.98) |
423.91 (-58.88) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.74 |
4.90 (+0.16) |
5.77 |
6.10 (+0.33) |
5.65 (-0.45) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.27 |
21.59 (-7.68) |
23.00 |
23.24 (+0.24) |
22.62 (-0.62) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
360.82 |
356.12 (-4.70) |
359.80 |
341.17 (-18.63) |
346.77 (+5.60) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
5.53 (-0.28) |
5.52 |
5.37 (-0.15) |
5.43 (+0.06) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 70-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Oklahoma State |
30.67 |
30.96 |
+0.29 |
61.63 |
49.53% |
L 31-39 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UAB |
43.72 |
18.71 |
-25.02 |
62.43 |
90.12% |
W 37-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Auburn |
21.16 |
25.46 |
+4.30 |
46.62 |
43.10% |
W 24-14 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Texas A&M |
16.73 |
34.74 |
+18.01 |
51.47 |
21.11% |
L 17-21 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Tennessee |
20.03 |
34.02 |
+13.98 |
54.05 |
27.57% |
W 19-14 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
LSU |
25.76 |
40.03 |
+14.28 |
65.79 |
27.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Mississippi State |
31.50 |
27.98 |
-3.52 |
59.47 |
55.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Ole Miss |
17.35 |
33.64 |
+16.28 |
50.99 |
23.88% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Texas |
12.38 |
40.93 |
+28.55 |
53.31 |
4.21% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Louisiana Tech |
37.73 |
16.17 |
-21.56 |
53.90 |
84.58% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Missouri |
20.62 |
32.79 |
+12.17 |
53.40 |
30.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
2.53% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
20.10% |
2.53% |
97.47% |
| 6-6 |
38.53% |
22.63% |
77.37% |
| 7-5 |
28.26% |
61.16% |
38.84% |
| 8-4 |
9.28% |
89.42% |
10.58% |
| 9-3 |
1.26% |
98.70% |
1.30% |
| 10-2 |
0.04% |
99.96% |
0.04% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.05% |
| 2-10 |
0.83% |
| 3-9 |
5.36% |
| 4-8 |
16.11% |
| 5-7 |
26.54% |
| 6-6 |
26.33% |
| 7-5 |
16.35% |
| 8-4 |
6.51% |
| 9-3 |
1.66% |
| 10-2 |
0.25% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |