BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Auburn 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Auburn 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.64 |
34.73 (+9.10) |
22.56 |
24.56 (+2.00) |
24.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
322.55 |
333.25 (+10.70) |
404.78 |
433.94 (+29.16) |
433.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.33 |
5.57 (+0.23) |
6.18 |
6.47 (+0.29) |
6.47 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.73 |
14.73 (-8.00) |
20.44 |
21.21 (+0.76) |
21.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
374.09 |
345.16 (-28.93) |
312.00 |
315.65 (+3.65) |
315.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.88 |
5.25 (-0.63) |
4.89 |
5.01 (+0.12) |
5.01 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Alabama A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 73-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
California |
22.56 |
21.54 |
-1.02 |
44.10 |
51.63% |
L 14-21 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
New Mexico |
43.56 |
26.00 |
-17.56 |
69.55 |
78.17% |
W 45-19 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Arkansas |
27.53 |
23.68 |
-3.85 |
51.21 |
56.17% |
L 14-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Oklahoma |
21.55 |
22.37 |
+0.81 |
43.92 |
48.70% |
L 21-27 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Georgia |
13.37 |
31.38 |
+18.01 |
44.75 |
21.11% |
L 13-31 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Missouri |
19.13 |
25.34 |
+6.21 |
44.48 |
40.04% |
L 17-21 |
2-5 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Kentucky |
15.41 |
22.97 |
+7.57 |
38.38 |
37.87% |
W 24-10 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Vanderbilt |
22.52 |
23.40 |
+0.88 |
45.93 |
48.59% |
L 7-17 |
3-6 |
| 2024-11-16 |
UL Monroe |
30.72 |
16.12 |
-14.60 |
46.84 |
73.42% |
W 48-14 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Texas A&M |
19.68 |
25.35 |
+5.67 |
45.03 |
40.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Alabama |
13.92 |
41.46 |
+27.54 |
55.37 |
5.83% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
55.37% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
42.27% |
55.37% |
44.63% |
| 6-6 |
2.36% |
97.64% |
2.36% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.06% |
| 2-10 |
0.71% |
| 3-9 |
3.74% |
| 4-8 |
11.07% |
| 5-7 |
20.98% |
| 6-6 |
25.78% |
| 7-5 |
21.06% |
| 8-4 |
11.62% |
| 9-3 |
4.06% |
| 10-2 |
0.83% |
| 11-1 |
0.09% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |