BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Auburn 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Auburn 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.64 |
34.73 (+9.10) |
21.40 |
22.09 (+0.69) |
26.83 (+4.74) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
322.55 |
333.25 (+10.70) |
404.60 |
424.17 (+19.57) |
390.07 (-34.09) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.33 |
5.57 (+0.23) |
6.41 |
6.74 (+0.33) |
6.30 (-0.44) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.73 |
14.73 (-8.00) |
24.40 |
22.23 (-2.17) |
19.41 (-2.81) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
374.09 |
345.16 (-28.93) |
357.20 |
311.46 (-45.74) |
324.10 (+12.64) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.88 |
5.25 (-0.63) |
5.44 |
5.22 (-0.23) |
5.23 (+0.01) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Alabama A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 73-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
California |
23.45 |
22.48 |
-0.97 |
45.93 |
51.55% |
L 14-21 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
New Mexico |
51.77 |
24.80 |
-26.97 |
76.56 |
93.26% |
W 45-19 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Arkansas |
25.46 |
21.16 |
-4.30 |
46.62 |
56.90% |
L 14-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Oklahoma |
16.96 |
28.17 |
+11.21 |
45.13 |
32.02% |
L 21-27 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Georgia |
12.67 |
32.33 |
+19.66 |
45.00 |
18.46% |
L 13-31 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Missouri |
17.78 |
29.12 |
+11.34 |
46.90 |
31.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Kentucky |
11.46 |
23.60 |
+12.14 |
35.07 |
30.52% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Vanderbilt |
30.95 |
26.58 |
-4.36 |
57.53 |
57.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
UL Monroe |
20.36 |
17.49 |
-2.87 |
37.85 |
54.60% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Texas A&M |
17.56 |
28.63 |
+11.07 |
46.19 |
32.25% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Alabama |
15.33 |
40.23 |
+24.90 |
55.57 |
10.06% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
5.63% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
23.03% |
5.63% |
94.37% |
| 4-8 |
34.41% |
28.66% |
71.34% |
| 5-7 |
25.63% |
63.07% |
36.93% |
| 6-6 |
9.54% |
88.70% |
11.30% |
| 7-5 |
1.65% |
98.24% |
1.76% |
| 8-4 |
0.11% |
99.89% |
0.11% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.04% |
| 2-10 |
0.90% |
| 3-9 |
5.39% |
| 4-8 |
14.96% |
| 5-7 |
24.64% |
| 6-6 |
25.70% |
| 7-5 |
17.69% |
| 8-4 |
7.88% |
| 9-3 |
2.33% |
| 10-2 |
0.42% |
| 11-1 |
0.04% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |