BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Kentucky 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Kentucky 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.64 |
36.33 (+7.70) |
20.50 |
25.92 (+5.42) |
28.52 (+2.60) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
325.27 |
355.83 (+30.56) |
321.67 |
373.65 (+51.98) |
369.19 (-4.46) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.99 |
6.53 (+0.54) |
5.27 |
6.05 (+0.78) |
6.17 (+0.12) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.55 |
20.76 (-4.78) |
14.50 |
8.95 (-5.55) |
11.90 (+2.95) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
354.91 |
352.73 (-2.18) |
251.50 |
181.90 (-69.60) |
224.61 (+42.71) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.22 |
4.93 (-0.29) |
5.01 |
4.36 (-0.65) |
4.50 (+0.14) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Southern Miss |
43.29 |
-0.17 |
-43.46 |
43.12 |
99.90% |
W 31-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
South Carolina |
21.83 |
16.39 |
-5.44 |
38.22 |
58.72% |
L 6-31 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Georgia |
16.93 |
20.60 |
+3.67 |
37.53 |
44.12% |
L 12-13 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Ohio |
32.22 |
6.23 |
-25.99 |
38.45 |
91.68% |
W 41-6 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Ole Miss |
14.19 |
22.09 |
+7.90 |
36.28 |
37.33% |
W 20-17 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Vanderbilt |
32.71 |
18.11 |
-14.60 |
50.82 |
73.42% |
L 13-20 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Florida |
22.88 |
16.63 |
-6.24 |
39.51 |
60.01% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Auburn |
23.60 |
11.46 |
-12.14 |
35.07 |
69.48% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Tennessee |
17.19 |
23.00 |
+5.81 |
40.19 |
40.68% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Murray State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Texas |
8.39 |
28.42 |
+20.04 |
36.81 |
17.86% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Louisville |
17.95 |
17.44 |
-0.51 |
35.38 |
50.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
2.97% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
16.70% |
2.97% |
97.03% |
| 6-6 |
34.68% |
19.68% |
80.32% |
| 7-5 |
31.70% |
54.35% |
45.65% |
| 8-4 |
12.36% |
86.05% |
13.95% |
| 9-3 |
1.59% |
98.41% |
1.59% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.20% |
| 4-8 |
1.70% |
| 5-7 |
6.92% |
| 6-6 |
16.82% |
| 7-5 |
25.98% |
| 8-4 |
25.22% |
| 9-3 |
15.90% |
| 10-2 |
5.94% |
| 11-1 |
1.22% |
| 12-0 |
0.11% |