BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024

Tennessee 2024 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.64 26.66 (+0.02)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 374.92 376.36 (+1.44)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.77 5.75 (-0.02)

Tennessee 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 31.64 44.65 (+13.02) 36.80 35.35 (-1.45) 38.84 (+3.49)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 453.73 491.35 (+37.62) 438.20 429.53 (-8.67) 452.71 (+23.18)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.59 7.13 (+0.54) 6.10 6.15 (+0.05) 6.52 (+0.37)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 22.82 20.63 (-2.19) 12.20 12.81 (+0.61) 15.74 (+2.93)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 349.64 337.80 (-11.83) 253.60 278.93 (+25.33) 301.01 (+22.08)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.19 4.76 (-0.43) 3.86 4.14 (+0.28) 4.37 (+0.23)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 Chattanooga Non-FBS Opponent W 69-3 1-0
2024-09-07 @NC State 37.99 20.61 -17.38 58.61 77.88% W 51-10 2-0
2024-09-14 Kent State 68.94 6.30 -62.64 75.24 99.90% W 71-0 3-0
2024-09-21 @Oklahoma 23.99 26.02 +2.02 50.01 46.75% W 25-15 4-0
2024-10-05 @Arkansas 34.02 20.03 -13.98 54.05 72.43% L 14-19 4-1
2024-10-12 Florida 34.76 18.69 -16.07 53.45 75.77% W 23-17 5-1
2024-10-19 Alabama 26.92 31.69 +4.77 58.61 42.35% n/a n/a
2024-11-02 Kentucky 23.00 17.19 -5.81 40.19 59.32% n/a n/a
2024-11-09 Mississippi State 44.42 17.71 -26.72 62.13 92.85% n/a n/a
2024-11-16 @Georgia 22.55 27.84 +5.28 50.39 41.52% n/a n/a
2024-11-23 UTEP 51.16 7.85 -43.31 59.01 99.90% n/a n/a
2024-11-30 @Vanderbilt 40.89 22.73 -18.17 63.62 79.14% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-6 0.23% 0.00% 100.00%
7-5 3.96% 0.23% 99.77%
8-4 20.42% 4.19% 95.81%
9-3 38.28% 24.61% 75.39%
10-2 29.29% 62.89% 37.11%
11-1 7.83% 92.17% 7.83%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
3-9 0.00%
4-8 0.05%
5-7 0.53%
6-6 3.24%
7-5 10.83%
8-4 23.18%
9-3 29.13%
10-2 22.32%
11-1 9.21%
12-0 1.51%