BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
Category | 2023 Raw | 2024 Raw | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|
Points Per Game (PPG) | 26.70 | 26.76 | 26.76 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) | 379.93 | 377.68 | 377.68 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) | 5.70 | 5.71 | 5.71 (+0.00) |
Category | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Raw | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): | 19.18 | 20.66 (+1.48) | 19.09 | 18.01 (-1.08) | 18.01 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): | 355.73 | 313.00 (-42.73) | 311.27 | 300.42 (-10.85) | 300.42 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): | 5.54 | 5.31 (-0.23) | 4.68 | 4.54 (-0.14) | 4.54 (+0.00) |
Category | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Raw | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): | 29.82 | 28.60 (-1.22) | 32.82 | 37.00 (+4.18) | 37.00 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): | 390.82 | 410.87 (+20.05) | 405.18 | 441.11 (+35.92) | 441.11 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): | 6.14 | 6.27 (+0.13) | 5.65 | 6.18 (+0.53) | 6.18 (+0.00) |
Category | Measure(s) |
---|---|
Home Field Advantage | +2.4 |
Date | Opponent | BizMa Points For | BizMa Points Against | BizMa Spread | BizMa O/U | BizMa Win % | Real Outcome | Team Record |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-08-31 | @Nebraska | 13.34 | 35.05 | +21.70 | 48.39 | 15.19% | L 7-40 | 0-1 |
2024-09-08 | Southern Utah | Non-FBS Opponent | L 24-27 | 0-2 | ||||
2024-09-14 | @Liberty | 16.00 | 33.98 | +17.99 | 49.98 | 21.15% | L 10-28 | 0-3 |
2024-09-21 | @Colorado State | 17.10 | 33.00 | +15.90 | 50.10 | 24.50% | L 17-27 | 0-4 |
2024-10-04 | Sam Houston | 15.32 | 27.33 | +12.01 | 42.66 | 30.74% | L 21-41 | 0-5 |
2024-10-11 | @Western Kentucky | 19.06 | 35.19 | +16.13 | 54.25 | 24.13% | L 17-44 | 0-6 |
2024-10-17 | Florida International | 20.21 | 30.25 | +10.04 | 50.47 | 33.90% | W 30-21 | 1-6 |
2024-10-23 | @Louisiana Tech | 15.37 | 25.80 | +10.43 | 41.18 | 33.27% | L 10-14 | 1-7 |
2024-11-02 | Middle Tennessee | 28.61 | 23.52 | -5.09 | 52.13 | 58.16% | L 13-20 | 1-8 |
2024-11-09 | Kennesaw State | 28.22 | 25.06 | -3.16 | 53.28 | 55.07% | W 43-35 | 2-8 |
2024-11-23 | @Tennessee | 9.81 | 47.67 | +37.86 | 57.48 | 0.10% | L 0-56 | 2-9 |
2024-11-30 | @New Mexico State | 29.45 | 30.00 | +0.55 | 59.45 | 49.12% | W 42-35 | 3-9 |
Record | Probability | Ceiling | Floor |
---|---|---|---|
3-9 | 100.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% |
Record | Probability |
---|---|
1-11 | 1.08% |
2-10 | 6.92% |
3-9 | 17.91% |
4-8 | 26.77% |
5-7 | 24.64% |
6-6 | 14.78% |
7-5 | 6.02% |
8-4 | 1.58% |
9-3 | 0.28% |
10-2 | 0.02% |
11-1 | 0.00% |