BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024

#57 Liberty 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Liberty 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#93)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 40.77 45.34 (+4.57) 27.00 21.11 (-5.89) 21.11 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 512.23 477.38 (-34.85) 386.73 355.98 (-30.74) 355.98 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 7.44 7.16 (-0.29) 5.61 5.29 (-0.31) 5.29 (+0.00)

Defense (#56)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 22.69 27.76 (+5.07) 21.09 24.28 (+3.19) 24.28 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 352.08 413.40 (+61.33) 318.91 362.20 (+43.29) 362.20 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.59 6.17 (+0.58) 4.90 5.50 (+0.60) 5.50 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.5

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 Campbell Non-FBS Opponent W 41-24 1-0
2024-09-08 @New Mexico State 33.51 19.34 -14.16 52.85 72.72% W 30-24 2-0
2024-09-14 UTEP 33.98 16.00 -17.99 49.98 78.85% W 28-10 3-0
2024-09-21 East Carolina 28.06 26.16 -1.90 54.21 53.04% W 35-24 4-0
2024-09-28 @App State 23.43 19.97 -3.46 43.40 55.55% n/a n/a
2024-10-08 Florida International 24.42 18.67 -5.75 43.09 59.22% W 31-24 5-0
2024-10-23 @Kennesaw State 29.51 15.40 -14.11 44.91 72.63% L 24-27 5-1
2024-10-30 Jacksonville State 26.92 31.57 +4.65 58.49 42.55% L 21-31 5-2
2024-11-09 @Middle Tennessee 29.61 16.01 -13.60 45.62 71.81% W 37-17 6-2
2024-11-16 @Massachusetts 33.78 19.12 -14.66 52.89 73.51% W 35-34 7-2
2024-11-23 Western Kentucky 25.33 20.23 -5.10 45.55 58.18% W 38-21 8-2
2024-11-29 @Sam Houston 16.38 17.35 +0.97 33.72 48.44% L 18-20 8-3
2025-01-04 Buffalo 29.98 21.37 -8.60 51.35 63.80% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
8-5 16.26% 0.00% 100.00%
9-4 48.32% 16.26% 83.74%
10-3 35.42% 64.58% 35.42%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-11 0.01%
3-10 0.11%
4-9 0.65%
5-8 2.71%
6-7 7.53%
7-6 15.38%
8-5 22.55%
9-4 23.36%
10-3 16.89%
11-2 8.21%
12-1 2.28%
13-0 0.31%