BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Liberty 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Liberty 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
40.77 |
45.34 (+4.57) |
24.80 |
16.05 (-8.75) |
27.04 (+10.98) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
512.23 |
477.38 (-34.85) |
342.00 |
223.89 (-118.11) |
318.95 (+95.06) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.44 |
7.16 (-0.29) |
5.17 |
4.14 (-1.02) |
5.27 (+1.13) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.69 |
27.76 (+5.07) |
16.40 |
23.35 (+6.95) |
25.00 (+1.65) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
352.08 |
413.40 (+61.33) |
256.60 |
324.83 (+68.23) |
358.05 (+33.21) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.59 |
6.17 (+0.58) |
3.85 |
4.73 (+0.88) |
5.27 (+0.54) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Campbell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@New Mexico State |
35.07 |
17.14 |
-17.93 |
52.21 |
78.76% |
W 30-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UTEP |
39.26 |
15.16 |
-24.09 |
54.42 |
88.64% |
W 28-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
East Carolina |
37.51 |
17.49 |
-20.02 |
55.00 |
82.11% |
W 35-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@App State |
37.31 |
11.52 |
-25.79 |
48.84 |
91.37% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-08 |
Florida International |
32.82 |
21.17 |
-11.65 |
53.99 |
68.68% |
W 31-24 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-23 |
@Kennesaw State |
41.16 |
12.18 |
-28.98 |
53.34 |
96.48% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-30 |
Jacksonville State |
37.40 |
30.30 |
-7.10 |
67.69 |
61.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Middle Tennessee |
39.76 |
22.08 |
-17.68 |
61.84 |
78.36% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Massachusetts |
39.99 |
12.88 |
-27.10 |
52.87 |
93.47% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Western Kentucky |
34.67 |
23.83 |
-10.84 |
58.50 |
67.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@Sam Houston |
27.08 |
21.68 |
-5.40 |
48.76 |
58.66% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
0.02% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
0.31% |
0.02% |
99.98% |
| 8-4 |
2.85% |
0.33% |
99.67% |
| 9-3 |
13.70% |
3.18% |
96.82% |
| 10-2 |
31.74% |
16.88% |
83.12% |
| 11-1 |
35.81% |
48.61% |
51.39% |
| 12-0 |
15.58% |
84.42% |
15.58% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.01% |
| 5-7 |
0.14% |
| 6-6 |
0.97% |
| 7-5 |
4.36% |
| 8-4 |
12.96% |
| 9-3 |
24.68% |
| 10-2 |
30.16% |
| 11-1 |
20.54% |
| 12-0 |
6.18% |