BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Liberty 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Liberty 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
40.77 |
45.34 (+4.57) |
26.78 |
18.74 (-8.04) |
18.74 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
512.23 |
477.38 (-34.85) |
381.78 |
333.97 (-47.81) |
333.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.44 |
7.16 (-0.29) |
5.63 |
5.14 (-0.49) |
5.14 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.69 |
27.76 (+5.07) |
21.22 |
25.39 (+4.16) |
25.39 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
352.08 |
413.40 (+61.33) |
311.89 |
364.94 (+53.05) |
364.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.59 |
6.17 (+0.58) |
4.85 |
5.52 (+0.68) |
5.52 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Campbell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@New Mexico State |
29.82 |
18.04 |
-11.78 |
47.86 |
68.89% |
W 30-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UTEP |
29.70 |
16.78 |
-12.92 |
46.49 |
70.72% |
W 28-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
East Carolina |
27.43 |
27.87 |
+0.44 |
55.29 |
49.30% |
W 35-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@App State |
24.29 |
19.40 |
-4.90 |
43.69 |
57.85% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-08 |
Florida International |
20.65 |
18.67 |
-1.98 |
39.32 |
53.17% |
W 31-24 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-23 |
@Kennesaw State |
26.93 |
16.33 |
-10.60 |
43.26 |
67.00% |
L 24-27 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-30 |
Jacksonville State |
28.89 |
33.57 |
+4.67 |
62.46 |
42.50% |
L 21-31 |
5-2 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Middle Tennessee |
25.42 |
16.15 |
-9.27 |
41.57 |
64.88% |
W 37-17 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Massachusetts |
29.23 |
14.84 |
-14.39 |
44.07 |
73.08% |
W 35-34 |
7-2 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Western Kentucky |
22.22 |
23.85 |
+1.62 |
46.07 |
47.39% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@Sam Houston |
16.62 |
19.85 |
+3.23 |
36.47 |
44.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
12.32% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-4 |
37.78% |
12.32% |
87.68% |
| 9-3 |
37.61% |
50.10% |
49.90% |
| 10-2 |
12.29% |
87.71% |
12.29% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.08% |
| 3-9 |
0.68% |
| 4-8 |
2.83% |
| 5-7 |
8.27% |
| 6-6 |
16.61% |
| 7-5 |
23.59% |
| 8-4 |
23.28% |
| 9-3 |
15.67% |
| 10-2 |
7.02% |
| 11-1 |
1.76% |
| 12-0 |
0.21% |