BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Buffalo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Buffalo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.45 |
17.00 (-2.45) |
18.00 |
14.53 (-3.47) |
15.46 (+0.93) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
300.45 |
260.57 (-39.88) |
245.80 |
277.81 (+32.01) |
271.35 (-6.47) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.49 |
3.82 (-0.67) |
4.07 |
4.31 (+0.24) |
4.13 (-0.18) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
29.04 (+2.77) |
24.60 |
26.49 (+1.89) |
27.44 (+0.96) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.82 |
425.55 (+71.73) |
406.20 |
463.32 (+57.12) |
449.16 (-14.16) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.94 |
6.67 (+0.73) |
5.24 |
6.32 (+1.08) |
6.45 (+0.13) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Lafayette |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 30-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Missouri |
9.62 |
38.39 |
+28.77 |
48.01 |
3.85% |
L 0-38 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Massachusetts |
29.02 |
18.29 |
-10.72 |
47.31 |
67.20% |
W 34-3 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Northern Illinois |
13.21 |
20.87 |
+7.66 |
34.08 |
37.72% |
W 23-20 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UConn |
14.34 |
35.42 |
+21.08 |
49.77 |
16.18% |
L 3-47 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Toledo |
22.52 |
34.24 |
+11.72 |
56.75 |
31.21% |
W 30-15 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Western Michigan |
27.63 |
20.94 |
-6.69 |
48.57 |
60.73% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Ohio |
15.93 |
21.54 |
+5.61 |
37.46 |
41.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Akron |
26.86 |
14.14 |
-12.71 |
41.00 |
70.39% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-12 |
Ball State |
30.33 |
14.96 |
-15.37 |
45.29 |
74.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-21 |
@Eastern Michigan |
23.07 |
27.35 |
+4.28 |
50.43 |
43.14% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-27 |
Kent State |
38.31 |
14.98 |
-23.33 |
53.29 |
87.42% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
0.13% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
1.96% |
0.13% |
99.87% |
| 6-6 |
10.53% |
2.08% |
97.92% |
| 7-5 |
26.69% |
12.62% |
87.38% |
| 8-4 |
34.33% |
39.31% |
60.69% |
| 9-3 |
21.32% |
73.64% |
26.36% |
| 10-2 |
5.04% |
94.96% |
5.04% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.28% |
| 3-9 |
1.95% |
| 4-8 |
7.90% |
| 5-7 |
18.07% |
| 6-6 |
26.13% |
| 7-5 |
24.95% |
| 8-4 |
14.40% |
| 9-3 |
5.21% |
| 10-2 |
1.03% |
| 11-1 |
0.08% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |