BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#116 Buffalo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Buffalo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#107)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.45 |
17.00 (-2.45) |
29.00 |
23.65 (-5.35) |
23.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
300.45 |
260.57 (-39.88) |
349.36 |
321.92 (-27.45) |
321.92 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.49 |
3.82 (-0.67) |
5.17 |
4.71 (-0.47) |
4.71 (+0.00) |
Defense (#117)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
29.04 (+2.77) |
29.36 |
32.89 (+3.53) |
32.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.82 |
425.55 (+71.73) |
420.82 |
468.66 (+47.84) |
468.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.94 |
6.67 (+0.73) |
5.94 |
6.64 (+0.70) |
6.64 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Lafayette |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 30-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Missouri |
20.16 |
37.65 |
+17.50 |
57.81 |
21.94% |
L 0-38 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Massachusetts |
38.82 |
27.37 |
-11.45 |
66.18 |
68.36% |
W 34-3 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Northern Illinois |
16.77 |
22.82 |
+6.05 |
39.58 |
40.30% |
W 23-20 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UConn |
22.44 |
30.59 |
+8.15 |
53.04 |
36.92% |
L 3-47 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Toledo |
27.26 |
31.49 |
+4.24 |
58.75 |
43.20% |
W 30-15 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Western Michigan |
35.57 |
29.30 |
-6.27 |
64.88 |
60.06% |
L 41-48 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Ohio |
18.53 |
35.01 |
+16.48 |
53.54 |
23.56% |
L 16-47 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Akron |
31.18 |
24.46 |
-6.72 |
55.64 |
60.78% |
W 41-30 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Ball State |
42.67 |
28.21 |
-14.46 |
70.88 |
73.19% |
W 51-48 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-21 |
@Eastern Michigan |
32.88 |
31.09 |
-1.79 |
63.96 |
52.87% |
W 37-20 |
7-4 |
| 2024-11-27 |
Kent State |
46.90 |
15.44 |
-31.46 |
62.35 |
99.90% |
W 43-7 |
8-4 |
| 2025-01-04 |
@Liberty |
21.37 |
29.98 |
+8.60 |
51.35 |
36.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
63.94% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 9-4 |
36.06% |
63.94% |
36.06% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.06% |
| 3-10 |
0.64% |
| 4-9 |
3.26% |
| 5-8 |
10.08% |
| 6-7 |
19.55% |
| 7-6 |
24.97% |
| 8-5 |
21.87% |
| 9-4 |
13.00% |
| 10-3 |
5.11% |
| 11-2 |
1.26% |
| 12-1 |
0.19% |
| 13-0 |
0.01% |