BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Buffalo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Buffalo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.45 |
17.00 (-2.45) |
26.56 |
22.60 (-3.96) |
22.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
300.45 |
260.57 (-39.88) |
333.44 |
323.85 (-9.60) |
323.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.49 |
3.82 (-0.67) |
5.02 |
4.80 (-0.22) |
4.80 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
29.04 (+2.77) |
32.89 |
36.07 (+3.18) |
36.07 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.82 |
425.55 (+71.73) |
441.78 |
489.67 (+47.89) |
489.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.94 |
6.67 (+0.73) |
6.13 |
6.80 (+0.68) |
6.80 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Lafayette |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 30-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Missouri |
19.10 |
40.72 |
+21.62 |
59.82 |
15.32% |
L 0-38 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Massachusetts |
35.60 |
24.04 |
-11.55 |
59.64 |
68.53% |
W 34-3 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Northern Illinois |
15.43 |
25.20 |
+9.77 |
40.62 |
34.33% |
W 23-20 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UConn |
20.71 |
31.91 |
+11.20 |
52.62 |
32.03% |
L 3-47 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Toledo |
26.10 |
38.21 |
+12.11 |
64.32 |
30.58% |
W 30-15 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Western Michigan |
37.19 |
34.94 |
-2.24 |
72.13 |
53.60% |
L 41-48 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Ohio |
20.70 |
34.32 |
+13.62 |
55.02 |
28.15% |
L 16-47 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Akron |
32.05 |
25.69 |
-6.36 |
57.75 |
60.20% |
W 41-30 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Ball State |
41.32 |
30.52 |
-10.80 |
71.85 |
67.32% |
W 51-48 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-21 |
@Eastern Michigan |
32.36 |
35.71 |
+3.35 |
68.07 |
44.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-27 |
Kent State |
46.09 |
19.58 |
-26.51 |
65.67 |
92.52% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
4.22% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
54.39% |
4.22% |
95.78% |
| 8-4 |
41.39% |
58.61% |
41.39% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.02% |
| 2-10 |
0.32% |
| 3-9 |
2.27% |
| 4-8 |
8.65% |
| 5-7 |
19.09% |
| 6-6 |
26.05% |
| 7-5 |
23.40% |
| 8-4 |
13.71% |
| 9-3 |
5.14% |
| 10-2 |
1.21% |
| 11-1 |
0.15% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |