BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Toledo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Toledo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.50 |
32.14 (+1.64) |
27.78 |
28.15 (+0.37) |
28.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
406.08 |
377.40 (-28.69) |
360.11 |
329.13 (-30.98) |
329.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.67 |
6.20 (-0.46) |
5.42 |
4.86 (-0.56) |
4.86 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.08 |
28.04 (+5.96) |
22.33 |
26.89 (+4.55) |
26.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
325.17 |
406.98 (+81.81) |
354.44 |
371.91 (+17.47) |
371.91 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.09 |
5.80 (+0.71) |
4.97 |
5.19 (+0.22) |
5.19 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Duquesne |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Massachusetts |
39.75 |
14.86 |
-24.89 |
54.62 |
89.93% |
W 38-23 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Mississippi State |
39.47 |
32.60 |
-6.87 |
72.07 |
61.02% |
W 41-17 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Western Kentucky |
30.14 |
28.40 |
-1.75 |
58.54 |
52.80% |
L 21-26 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Miami (OH) |
25.37 |
20.26 |
-5.11 |
45.63 |
58.20% |
W 30-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Buffalo |
38.21 |
26.10 |
-12.11 |
64.32 |
69.42% |
L 15-30 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Northern Illinois |
20.01 |
18.30 |
-1.71 |
38.31 |
52.75% |
W 13-6 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Bowling Green |
26.94 |
23.11 |
-3.83 |
50.05 |
56.14% |
L 26-41 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Eastern Michigan |
39.80 |
25.57 |
-14.23 |
65.36 |
72.83% |
W 29-28 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Central Michigan |
41.18 |
17.48 |
-23.70 |
58.66 |
88.01% |
W 37-10 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-21 |
Ohio |
28.63 |
22.74 |
-5.89 |
51.37 |
59.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-27 |
@Akron |
38.62 |
18.38 |
-20.24 |
57.00 |
82.46% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
7.11% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-4 |
43.87% |
7.11% |
92.89% |
| 9-3 |
49.03% |
50.97% |
49.03% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.05% |
| 4-8 |
0.42% |
| 5-7 |
2.25% |
| 6-6 |
7.26% |
| 7-5 |
16.27% |
| 8-4 |
24.56% |
| 9-3 |
24.95% |
| 10-2 |
16.63% |
| 11-1 |
6.48% |
| 12-0 |
1.11% |