BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#79 Toledo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Toledo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#98)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.50 |
32.14 (+1.64) |
24.64 |
25.16 (+0.53) |
25.16 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
406.08 |
377.40 (-28.69) |
354.55 |
335.49 (-19.05) |
335.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.67 |
6.20 (-0.46) |
5.27 |
4.91 (-0.36) |
4.91 (+0.00) |
Defense (#65)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.08 |
28.04 (+5.96) |
22.36 |
27.18 (+4.81) |
27.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
325.17 |
406.98 (+81.81) |
352.27 |
375.43 (+23.16) |
375.43 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.09 |
5.80 (+0.71) |
5.03 |
5.27 (+0.24) |
5.27 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Duquesne |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Massachusetts |
39.71 |
20.79 |
-18.93 |
60.50 |
80.35% |
W 38-23 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Mississippi State |
33.32 |
31.44 |
-1.88 |
64.76 |
53.02% |
W 41-17 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Western Kentucky |
27.09 |
26.05 |
-1.05 |
53.14 |
51.68% |
L 21-26 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Miami (OH) |
22.38 |
20.84 |
-1.54 |
43.22 |
52.47% |
W 30-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Buffalo |
31.49 |
27.26 |
-4.24 |
58.75 |
56.80% |
L 15-30 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Northern Illinois |
18.07 |
18.52 |
+0.45 |
36.58 |
49.28% |
W 13-6 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Bowling Green |
24.66 |
22.82 |
-1.84 |
47.48 |
52.95% |
L 26-41 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Eastern Michigan |
34.61 |
24.83 |
-9.77 |
59.44 |
65.68% |
W 29-28 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Central Michigan |
34.70 |
17.02 |
-17.68 |
51.72 |
78.35% |
W 37-10 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-21 |
Ohio |
22.58 |
26.44 |
+3.86 |
49.02 |
43.82% |
L 7-24 |
7-4 |
| 2024-11-27 |
@Akron |
32.89 |
20.04 |
-12.86 |
52.93 |
70.62% |
L 14-21 |
7-5 |
| 2024-12-26 |
Pittsburgh |
27.08 |
27.49 |
+0.41 |
54.57 |
49.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
50.69% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-5 |
49.31% |
50.69% |
49.31% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.00% |
| 2-11 |
0.02% |
| 3-10 |
0.22% |
| 4-9 |
1.31% |
| 5-8 |
4.79% |
| 6-7 |
11.25% |
| 7-6 |
19.41% |
| 8-5 |
23.45% |
| 9-4 |
20.46% |
| 10-3 |
12.69% |
| 11-2 |
4.99% |
| 12-1 |
1.28% |
| 13-0 |
0.12% |