BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Ohio 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Ohio 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.55 |
19.00 (-3.55) |
22.40 |
17.47 (-4.93) |
18.04 (+0.57) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
344.36 |
304.02 (-40.34) |
382.40 |
367.13 (-15.27) |
343.47 (-23.67) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.36 |
4.58 (-0.78) |
6.11 |
5.01 (-1.10) |
4.85 (-0.16) |
Defense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
15.91 |
21.24 (+5.33) |
26.80 |
31.25 (+4.45) |
27.49 (-3.75) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
262.73 |
346.77 (+84.05) |
353.40 |
350.89 (-2.51) |
349.35 (-1.54) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.94 |
5.86 (+0.92) |
5.45 |
5.29 (-0.16) |
5.50 (+0.21) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-08-31 |
@Syracuse |
15.41 |
31.38 |
+15.97 |
46.79 |
24.38% |
L 22-38 |
0-1 |
2024-09-07 |
South Alabama |
21.39 |
26.70 |
+5.31 |
48.10 |
41.48% |
W 27-20 |
1-1 |
2024-09-14 |
Morgan State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 21-6 |
2-1 |
2024-09-21 |
@Kentucky |
6.23 |
32.22 |
+25.99 |
38.45 |
8.32% |
L 6-41 |
2-2 |
2024-09-28 |
Akron |
33.44 |
13.95 |
-19.50 |
47.39 |
81.27% |
W 30-10 |
3-2 |
2024-10-12 |
@Central Michigan |
26.66 |
19.58 |
-7.08 |
46.24 |
61.35% |
W 27-25 |
4-2 |
2024-10-19 |
@Miami (OH) |
13.62 |
20.75 |
+7.13 |
34.36 |
38.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-10-26 |
Buffalo |
21.54 |
15.93 |
-5.61 |
37.46 |
59.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-07 |
@Kent State |
38.52 |
16.09 |
-22.43 |
54.60 |
85.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-13 |
Eastern Michigan |
28.76 |
23.39 |
-5.37 |
52.14 |
58.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-21 |
@Toledo |
21.81 |
35.11 |
+13.30 |
56.92 |
28.67% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-29 |
Ball State |
32.59 |
14.33 |
-18.27 |
46.92 |
79.30% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
4-8 |
0.23% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
5-7 |
2.98% |
0.23% |
99.77% |
6-6 |
14.48% |
3.21% |
96.79% |
7-5 |
31.49% |
17.69% |
82.31% |
8-4 |
32.88% |
49.18% |
50.82% |
9-3 |
15.31% |
82.07% |
17.93% |
10-2 |
2.62% |
97.38% |
2.62% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
1-11 |
0.01% |
2-10 |
0.14% |
3-9 |
1.07% |
4-8 |
5.38% |
5-7 |
14.27% |
6-6 |
24.48% |
7-5 |
26.35% |
8-4 |
18.28% |
9-3 |
7.76% |
10-2 |
2.00% |
11-1 |
0.23% |
12-0 |
0.02% |