BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Alabama 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Alabama 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.50 |
39.93 (+7.43) |
38.11 |
45.27 (+7.16) |
45.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
387.08 |
413.53 (+26.45) |
431.00 |
463.94 (+32.94) |
463.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.06 |
6.61 (+0.55) |
6.95 |
7.42 (+0.47) |
7.42 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.08 |
6.67 (-12.41) |
18.00 |
16.07 (-1.93) |
16.07 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.00 |
267.44 (-52.56) |
338.67 |
323.17 (-15.50) |
323.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.02 |
4.18 (-0.83) |
4.73 |
4.70 (-0.03) |
4.70 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Western Kentucky |
49.58 |
14.66 |
-34.92 |
64.24 |
99.90% |
W 63-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
South Florida |
51.51 |
14.57 |
-36.94 |
66.09 |
99.90% |
W 42-16 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Wisconsin |
36.82 |
17.10 |
-19.72 |
53.92 |
81.63% |
W 42-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Georgia |
33.31 |
23.29 |
-10.02 |
56.61 |
66.07% |
W 41-34 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Vanderbilt |
40.45 |
19.40 |
-21.06 |
59.85 |
83.78% |
L 35-40 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
South Carolina |
36.99 |
24.11 |
-12.87 |
61.10 |
70.65% |
W 27-25 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Tennessee |
31.10 |
22.88 |
-8.22 |
53.98 |
63.19% |
L 17-24 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Missouri |
43.06 |
17.30 |
-25.76 |
60.36 |
91.32% |
W 34-0 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@LSU |
39.57 |
24.26 |
-15.31 |
63.83 |
74.56% |
W 42-13 |
7-2 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Mercer |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 52-7 |
8-2 |
| 2024-11-24 |
@Oklahoma |
36.78 |
20.49 |
-16.29 |
57.28 |
76.13% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Auburn |
41.46 |
13.92 |
-27.54 |
55.37 |
94.17% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
1.35% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 9-3 |
26.73% |
1.35% |
98.65% |
| 10-2 |
71.92% |
28.08% |
71.92% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 5-7 |
0.04% |
| 6-6 |
0.34% |
| 7-5 |
2.17% |
| 8-4 |
8.29% |
| 9-3 |
20.76% |
| 10-2 |
31.65% |
| 11-1 |
26.90% |
| 12-0 |
9.84% |