BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Alabama 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Alabama 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.50 |
39.93 (+7.43) |
41.67 |
48.79 (+7.13) |
46.58 (-2.22) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
387.08 |
413.53 (+26.45) |
442.67 |
477.14 (+34.47) |
461.24 (-15.90) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.06 |
6.61 (+0.55) |
7.41 |
7.98 (+0.58) |
7.64 (-0.34) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.08 |
6.67 (-12.41) |
20.83 |
18.18 (-2.66) |
15.30 (-2.88) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.00 |
267.44 (-52.56) |
342.50 |
323.93 (-18.57) |
309.81 (-14.12) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.02 |
4.18 (-0.83) |
4.62 |
4.50 (-0.11) |
4.42 (-0.08) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Western Kentucky |
55.08 |
14.55 |
-40.53 |
69.63 |
99.90% |
W 63-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
South Florida |
60.31 |
13.07 |
-47.24 |
73.38 |
99.90% |
W 42-16 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Wisconsin |
35.29 |
19.18 |
-16.11 |
54.47 |
75.84% |
W 42-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Georgia |
31.46 |
25.22 |
-6.24 |
56.68 |
60.01% |
W 41-34 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Vanderbilt |
48.60 |
22.39 |
-26.21 |
70.99 |
92.03% |
L 35-40 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
South Carolina |
37.58 |
19.89 |
-17.70 |
57.47 |
78.38% |
W 27-25 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Tennessee |
31.69 |
26.92 |
-4.77 |
58.61 |
57.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Missouri |
39.25 |
21.36 |
-17.89 |
60.61 |
78.70% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@LSU |
38.98 |
33.37 |
-5.61 |
72.35 |
59.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Mercer |
Non-FBS Opponent |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Oklahoma |
29.85 |
25.68 |
-4.17 |
55.53 |
56.69% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Auburn |
40.23 |
15.33 |
-24.90 |
55.57 |
89.94% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
0.16% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
2.70% |
0.16% |
99.84% |
| 8-4 |
14.63% |
2.86% |
97.14% |
| 9-3 |
33.63% |
17.49% |
82.51% |
| 10-2 |
35.34% |
51.12% |
48.88% |
| 11-1 |
13.54% |
86.46% |
13.54% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-8 |
0.01% |
| 5-7 |
0.14% |
| 6-6 |
1.12% |
| 7-5 |
5.24% |
| 8-4 |
15.19% |
| 9-3 |
26.87% |
| 10-2 |
29.48% |
| 11-1 |
17.46% |
| 12-0 |
4.49% |