BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
LSU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
LSU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
44.09 |
54.73 (+10.64) |
32.20 |
39.97 (+7.77) |
45.51 (+5.53) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
540.91 |
600.61 (+59.70) |
476.00 |
551.81 (+75.81) |
570.11 (+18.30) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
8.71 |
9.50 (+0.79) |
6.79 |
7.38 (+0.59) |
8.18 (+0.80) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.36 |
20.47 (-8.89) |
22.60 |
21.26 (-1.34) |
20.96 (-0.29) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
417.27 |
420.28 (+3.01) |
387.20 |
353.01 (-34.19) |
378.24 (+25.23) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.00 |
5.89 (-0.11) |
5.97 |
5.44 (-0.53) |
5.61 (+0.17) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
USC |
40.96 |
31.35 |
-9.62 |
72.31 |
65.42% |
L 20-27 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Nicholls |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 44-21 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@South Carolina |
33.68 |
28.70 |
-4.98 |
62.38 |
57.99% |
W 36-33 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
UCLA |
40.57 |
17.13 |
-23.43 |
57.70 |
87.58% |
W 34-17 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
South Alabama |
49.26 |
18.85 |
-30.41 |
68.11 |
98.78% |
W 42-10 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Ole Miss |
29.84 |
31.39 |
+1.55 |
61.24 |
47.51% |
W 29-26 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Arkansas |
40.03 |
25.76 |
-14.28 |
65.79 |
72.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Texas A&M |
29.40 |
33.05 |
+3.65 |
62.44 |
44.14% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Alabama |
33.37 |
38.98 |
+5.61 |
72.35 |
41.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Florida |
38.08 |
26.57 |
-11.51 |
64.65 |
68.46% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Vanderbilt |
50.54 |
28.69 |
-21.85 |
79.23 |
85.05% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Oklahoma |
31.82 |
30.36 |
-1.46 |
62.19 |
52.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.20% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
2.63% |
0.20% |
99.80% |
| 7-5 |
12.73% |
2.83% |
97.17% |
| 8-4 |
28.80% |
15.56% |
84.44% |
| 9-3 |
33.02% |
44.37% |
55.63% |
| 10-2 |
18.51% |
77.39% |
22.61% |
| 11-1 |
4.10% |
95.90% |
4.10% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.00% |
| 3-9 |
0.05% |
| 4-8 |
0.48% |
| 5-7 |
2.67% |
| 6-6 |
8.84% |
| 7-5 |
18.78% |
| 8-4 |
26.17% |
| 9-3 |
23.99% |
| 10-2 |
13.87% |
| 11-1 |
4.57% |
| 12-0 |
0.59% |