BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
USC 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
USC 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
41.83 |
50.54 (+8.71) |
30.67 |
34.59 (+3.93) |
38.58 (+3.99) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
468.42 |
522.96 (+54.54) |
437.83 |
484.41 (+46.57) |
494.05 (+9.64) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.42 |
8.15 (+0.73) |
6.40 |
7.12 (+0.73) |
7.38 (+0.26) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
34.92 |
29.05 (-5.87) |
20.83 |
18.38 (-2.46) |
21.05 (+2.67) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
438.83 |
403.03 (-35.81) |
349.83 |
310.86 (-38.97) |
333.90 (+23.04) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
5.73 (-0.43) |
5.76 |
5.51 (-0.26) |
5.56 (+0.06) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
@LSU |
31.35 |
40.96 |
+9.62 |
72.31 |
34.58% |
W 27-20 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Utah State |
62.37 |
22.62 |
-39.76 |
84.99 |
99.90% |
W 48-0 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Michigan |
27.29 |
31.39 |
+4.10 |
58.68 |
43.43% |
L 24-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Wisconsin |
30.83 |
23.03 |
-7.80 |
53.87 |
62.51% |
W 38-21 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Minnesota |
31.05 |
22.08 |
-8.97 |
53.13 |
64.38% |
L 17-24 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Penn State |
25.34 |
29.22 |
+3.88 |
54.56 |
43.77% |
L 30-33 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Maryland |
36.21 |
31.44 |
-4.77 |
67.65 |
57.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Rutgers |
34.88 |
20.82 |
-14.05 |
55.70 |
72.54% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Washington |
27.71 |
24.87 |
-2.84 |
52.58 |
54.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Nebraska |
26.19 |
16.14 |
-10.06 |
42.33 |
66.13% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@UCLA |
30.91 |
19.33 |
-11.57 |
50.24 |
68.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Notre Dame |
25.44 |
34.32 |
+8.88 |
59.76 |
35.77% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.35% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
3.59% |
0.35% |
99.65% |
| 5-7 |
14.12% |
3.94% |
96.06% |
| 6-6 |
29.20% |
18.07% |
81.93% |
| 7-5 |
31.59% |
47.27% |
52.73% |
| 8-4 |
17.42% |
78.86% |
21.14% |
| 9-3 |
3.72% |
96.28% |
3.72% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.15% |
| 3-9 |
1.06% |
| 4-8 |
4.20% |
| 5-7 |
11.17% |
| 6-6 |
19.92% |
| 7-5 |
24.36% |
| 8-4 |
20.93% |
| 9-3 |
12.34% |
| 10-2 |
4.71% |
| 11-1 |
1.06% |
| 12-0 |
0.09% |