BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
UCLA 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
UCLA 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.73 |
26.26 (+3.53) |
14.50 |
20.34 (+5.84) |
22.56 (+2.22) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
403.73 |
429.13 (+25.40) |
272.83 |
320.22 (+47.39) |
361.06 (+40.84) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.48 |
5.68 (+0.20) |
4.86 |
5.47 (+0.61) |
5.55 (+0.08) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.09 |
12.05 (-7.04) |
28.50 |
24.81 (-3.69) |
20.02 (-4.79) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
304.64 |
256.94 (-47.70) |
355.17 |
302.04 (-53.13) |
285.13 (-16.91) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.71 |
4.19 (-0.52) |
5.47 |
4.68 (-0.79) |
4.50 (-0.18) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Hawai'i |
25.26 |
13.91 |
-11.35 |
39.17 |
68.20% |
W 16-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Indiana |
21.36 |
31.80 |
+10.44 |
53.16 |
33.26% |
L 13-42 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@LSU |
17.13 |
40.57 |
+23.43 |
57.70 |
12.42% |
L 17-34 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Oregon |
11.99 |
35.96 |
+23.97 |
47.94 |
11.56% |
L 13-34 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Penn State |
10.88 |
31.51 |
+20.62 |
42.39 |
16.92% |
L 11-27 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-13 |
Minnesota |
19.01 |
17.81 |
-1.19 |
36.82 |
51.92% |
L 17-21 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Rutgers |
17.75 |
20.98 |
+3.23 |
38.74 |
44.82% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Nebraska |
11.48 |
16.35 |
+4.87 |
27.83 |
42.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Iowa |
13.80 |
22.95 |
+9.15 |
36.74 |
35.32% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Washington |
14.48 |
25.62 |
+11.14 |
40.09 |
32.13% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
USC |
19.33 |
30.91 |
+11.57 |
50.24 |
31.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Fresno State |
22.44 |
12.47 |
-9.97 |
34.91 |
65.98% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
3.33% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
16.07% |
3.33% |
96.67% |
| 3-9 |
30.93% |
19.41% |
80.59% |
| 4-8 |
29.68% |
50.33% |
49.67% |
| 5-7 |
15.45% |
80.01% |
19.99% |
| 6-6 |
4.08% |
95.47% |
4.53% |
| 7-5 |
0.45% |
99.55% |
0.45% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.20% |
| 1-11 |
2.02% |
| 2-10 |
7.66% |
| 3-9 |
17.25% |
| 4-8 |
24.60% |
| 5-7 |
23.56% |
| 6-6 |
15.31% |
| 7-5 |
6.75% |
| 8-4 |
2.15% |
| 9-3 |
0.43% |
| 10-2 |
0.05% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |