BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Oregon 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Oregon 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
41.08 |
47.00 (+5.92) |
36.60 |
42.38 (+5.78) |
44.11 (+1.73) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
510.58 |
550.70 (+40.12) |
460.60 |
517.92 (+57.32) |
530.21 (+12.29) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.64 |
8.24 (+0.60) |
7.09 |
7.83 (+0.74) |
7.98 (+0.15) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.17 |
8.99 (-9.17) |
20.40 |
15.13 (-5.27) |
12.83 (-2.30) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
330.33 |
273.42 (-56.91) |
313.40 |
258.33 (-55.07) |
263.99 (+5.66) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.02 |
4.38 (-0.64) |
4.99 |
4.27 (-0.71) |
4.31 (+0.04) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Idaho |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 24-14 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Boise State |
43.65 |
22.36 |
-21.29 |
66.01 |
84.14% |
W 37-34 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Oregon State |
43.56 |
19.14 |
-24.42 |
62.69 |
89.17% |
W 49-14 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@UCLA |
35.96 |
11.99 |
-23.97 |
47.94 |
88.44% |
W 34-13 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Michigan State |
40.07 |
9.10 |
-30.97 |
49.18 |
99.68% |
W 31-10 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Ohio State |
21.60 |
26.00 |
+4.40 |
47.60 |
42.94% |
W 32-31 |
6-0 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Purdue |
61.00 |
14.46 |
-46.53 |
75.46 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Illinois |
44.97 |
14.13 |
-30.84 |
59.10 |
99.46% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Michigan |
31.95 |
21.63 |
-10.32 |
53.58 |
66.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Maryland |
43.75 |
19.14 |
-24.61 |
62.89 |
89.47% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Wisconsin |
32.84 |
16.74 |
-16.10 |
49.58 |
75.83% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Washington |
34.58 |
13.84 |
-20.74 |
48.41 |
83.27% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
0.16% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 9-3 |
2.70% |
0.16% |
99.84% |
| 10-2 |
17.02% |
2.86% |
97.14% |
| 11-1 |
42.55% |
19.88% |
80.12% |
| 12-0 |
37.57% |
62.43% |
37.57% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 5-7 |
0.00% |
| 6-6 |
0.12% |
| 7-5 |
1.08% |
| 8-4 |
5.67% |
| 9-3 |
18.34% |
| 10-2 |
33.02% |
| 11-1 |
30.93% |
| 12-0 |
10.83% |