BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Michigan 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Michigan 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
36.69 |
44.77 (+8.08) |
23.50 |
30.68 (+7.18) |
34.20 (+3.52) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
380.77 |
404.02 (+23.25) |
306.33 |
359.29 (+52.96) |
370.48 (+11.18) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.18 |
6.75 (+0.58) |
5.10 |
5.73 (+0.63) |
5.99 (+0.26) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
9.46 |
5.34 (-4.13) |
22.33 |
21.58 (-0.76) |
17.52 (-4.06) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
240.00 |
271.47 (+31.47) |
336.67 |
319.94 (-16.73) |
307.82 (-12.12) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.36 |
4.62 (+0.26) |
5.00 |
4.82 (-0.18) |
4.77 (-0.05) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Fresno State |
33.84 |
11.55 |
-22.28 |
45.39 |
85.74% |
W 30-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Texas |
16.64 |
33.95 |
+17.31 |
50.59 |
22.24% |
L 12-31 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Arkansas State |
44.39 |
13.86 |
-30.53 |
58.25 |
98.97% |
W 28-18 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
USC |
31.39 |
27.29 |
-4.10 |
58.68 |
56.57% |
W 27-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Minnesota |
30.40 |
15.70 |
-14.70 |
46.10 |
73.58% |
W 27-24 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Washington |
24.63 |
21.66 |
-2.97 |
46.29 |
54.76% |
L 17-27 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Illinois |
33.17 |
21.30 |
-11.86 |
54.47 |
69.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Michigan State |
31.99 |
13.31 |
-18.68 |
45.30 |
79.96% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Oregon |
21.63 |
31.95 |
+10.32 |
53.58 |
33.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Indiana |
30.18 |
30.97 |
+0.79 |
61.15 |
48.73% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Northwestern |
30.15 |
17.57 |
-12.58 |
47.73 |
70.18% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Ohio State |
14.18 |
35.23 |
+21.05 |
49.41 |
16.24% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
0.49% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
5.44% |
0.49% |
99.51% |
| 6-6 |
20.34% |
5.92% |
94.08% |
| 7-5 |
35.06% |
26.26% |
73.74% |
| 8-4 |
28.14% |
61.32% |
38.68% |
| 9-3 |
9.55% |
89.46% |
10.54% |
| 10-2 |
0.99% |
99.01% |
0.98% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.06% |
| 3-9 |
0.62% |
| 4-8 |
3.22% |
| 5-7 |
9.74% |
| 6-6 |
20.20% |
| 7-5 |
26.40% |
| 8-4 |
22.79% |
| 9-3 |
12.38% |
| 10-2 |
3.87% |
| 11-1 |
0.67% |
| 12-0 |
0.04% |