BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Michigan 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Michigan 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
36.69 |
44.77 (+8.08) |
20.40 |
24.11 (+3.71) |
24.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
380.77 |
404.02 (+23.25) |
290.10 |
318.21 (+28.11) |
318.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.18 |
6.75 (+0.58) |
4.86 |
5.30 (+0.44) |
5.30 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
9.46 |
5.34 (-4.13) |
23.00 |
21.18 (-1.82) |
21.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
240.00 |
271.47 (+31.47) |
335.50 |
321.46 (-14.04) |
321.46 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.36 |
4.62 (+0.26) |
5.11 |
4.82 (-0.29) |
4.82 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Fresno State |
26.52 |
17.27 |
-9.25 |
43.79 |
64.83% |
W 30-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Texas |
14.15 |
32.73 |
+18.58 |
46.88 |
20.20% |
L 12-31 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Arkansas State |
35.54 |
15.71 |
-19.83 |
51.25 |
81.80% |
W 28-18 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
USC |
24.00 |
27.42 |
+3.42 |
51.43 |
44.51% |
W 27-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Minnesota |
21.47 |
18.95 |
-2.52 |
40.42 |
54.04% |
W 27-24 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Washington |
18.56 |
20.86 |
+2.30 |
39.42 |
46.30% |
L 17-27 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Illinois |
23.40 |
23.36 |
-0.04 |
46.77 |
50.06% |
L 7-21 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Michigan State |
27.15 |
15.48 |
-11.67 |
42.63 |
68.71% |
W 24-17 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Oregon |
18.18 |
29.82 |
+11.64 |
48.00 |
31.33% |
L 17-38 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Indiana |
18.05 |
37.99 |
+19.94 |
56.04 |
18.01% |
L 15-20 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Northwestern |
24.96 |
13.96 |
-11.01 |
38.92 |
67.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Ohio State |
9.74 |
34.75 |
+25.01 |
44.49 |
9.89% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
29.29% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
64.03% |
29.29% |
70.71% |
| 7-5 |
6.68% |
93.32% |
6.68% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.02% |
| 1-11 |
0.26% |
| 2-10 |
1.76% |
| 3-9 |
6.73% |
| 4-8 |
15.54% |
| 5-7 |
23.85% |
| 6-6 |
24.58% |
| 7-5 |
16.76% |
| 8-4 |
7.72% |
| 9-3 |
2.32% |
| 10-2 |
0.41% |
| 11-1 |
0.05% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |