BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Northwestern 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Northwestern 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.73 |
30.48 (+7.76) |
16.56 |
18.56 (+2.00) |
18.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
304.45 |
324.27 (+19.82) |
264.44 |
277.55 (+13.11) |
277.55 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.73 |
5.30 (+0.57) |
4.37 |
4.65 (+0.27) |
4.65 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.18 |
21.21 (-2.97) |
24.56 |
24.18 (-0.37) |
24.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
348.64 |
379.09 (+30.45) |
372.44 |
377.13 (+4.69) |
377.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.35 |
5.47 (+0.12) |
5.68 |
5.52 (-0.16) |
5.52 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Miami (OH) |
15.62 |
16.88 |
+1.27 |
32.50 |
47.97% |
W 13-6 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Duke |
18.01 |
24.43 |
+6.42 |
42.43 |
39.71% |
L 20-26 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-7 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Washington |
13.72 |
23.23 |
+9.51 |
36.96 |
34.74% |
L 5-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Indiana |
15.09 |
39.96 |
+24.87 |
55.05 |
10.11% |
L 24-41 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Maryland |
22.41 |
28.41 |
+6.01 |
50.82 |
40.36% |
W 37-10 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Wisconsin |
15.11 |
22.40 |
+7.29 |
37.52 |
38.31% |
L 3-23 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Iowa |
15.29 |
33.21 |
+17.93 |
48.50 |
21.24% |
L 14-40 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Purdue |
33.09 |
18.63 |
-14.46 |
51.72 |
73.18% |
W 26-20 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Ohio State |
8.12 |
35.65 |
+27.53 |
43.77 |
5.85% |
L 7-31 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Michigan |
13.96 |
24.96 |
+11.01 |
38.92 |
32.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Illinois |
19.73 |
24.10 |
+4.37 |
43.84 |
42.98% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
38.59% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
47.52% |
38.59% |
61.41% |
| 6-6 |
13.89% |
86.11% |
13.89% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.51% |
| 2-10 |
4.18% |
| 3-9 |
12.86% |
| 4-8 |
23.43% |
| 5-7 |
26.41% |
| 6-6 |
19.17% |
| 7-5 |
9.44% |
| 8-4 |
3.20% |
| 9-3 |
0.68% |
| 10-2 |
0.09% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |