BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Northwestern 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Northwestern 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.73 |
30.48 (+7.76) |
19.80 |
24.43 (+4.63) |
26.70 (+2.27) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
304.45 |
324.27 (+19.82) |
266.60 |
268.99 (+2.39) |
289.72 (+20.73) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.73 |
5.30 (+0.57) |
4.48 |
4.55 (+0.07) |
4.83 (+0.28) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.18 |
21.21 (-2.97) |
21.40 |
19.54 (-1.86) |
20.16 (+0.63) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
348.64 |
379.09 (+30.45) |
376.20 |
340.02 (-36.18) |
354.67 (+14.65) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.35 |
5.47 (+0.12) |
5.55 |
5.06 (-0.48) |
5.22 (+0.15) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Miami (OH) |
25.00 |
11.68 |
-13.31 |
36.68 |
71.35% |
W 13-6 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Duke |
21.03 |
21.77 |
+0.74 |
42.81 |
48.81% |
L 20-26 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-7 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Washington |
18.55 |
24.34 |
+5.79 |
42.89 |
40.71% |
L 5-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Indiana |
24.96 |
32.30 |
+7.34 |
57.26 |
38.22% |
L 24-41 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Maryland |
25.20 |
30.21 |
+5.01 |
55.41 |
41.96% |
W 37-10 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Wisconsin |
20.52 |
21.96 |
+1.44 |
42.48 |
47.69% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Iowa |
14.95 |
26.32 |
+11.37 |
41.28 |
31.77% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Purdue |
40.37 |
21.95 |
-18.43 |
62.32 |
79.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Ohio State |
11.66 |
36.17 |
+24.51 |
47.83 |
10.69% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Michigan |
17.57 |
30.15 |
+12.58 |
47.73 |
29.82% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Illinois |
27.65 |
21.77 |
-5.88 |
49.41 |
59.43% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
1.94% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
13.57% |
1.94% |
98.06% |
| 5-7 |
31.93% |
15.52% |
84.48% |
| 6-6 |
32.96% |
47.44% |
52.56% |
| 7-5 |
16.04% |
80.40% |
19.60% |
| 8-4 |
3.31% |
96.45% |
3.55% |
| 9-3 |
0.24% |
99.76% |
0.24% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.06% |
| 2-10 |
0.74% |
| 3-9 |
3.94% |
| 4-8 |
11.74% |
| 5-7 |
21.23% |
| 6-6 |
25.57% |
| 7-5 |
20.85% |
| 8-4 |
10.97% |
| 9-3 |
3.90% |
| 10-2 |
0.91% |
| 11-1 |
0.10% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |