BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Duke 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Duke 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
36.99 (+10.53) |
26.40 |
23.16 (-3.24) |
28.34 (+5.19) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
334.18 |
362.88 (+28.69) |
353.40 |
339.20 (-14.20) |
348.08 (+8.88) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
6.01 (+0.48) |
5.39 |
5.15 (-0.24) |
5.47 (+0.32) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
16.05 (-4.86) |
20.40 |
21.46 (+1.06) |
19.43 (-2.03) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
367.27 |
367.76 (+0.48) |
341.60 |
345.96 (+4.36) |
354.13 (+8.17) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.24 |
5.09 (-0.15) |
4.57 |
4.70 (+0.13) |
4.85 (+0.15) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Elon |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 26-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Northwestern |
21.77 |
21.03 |
-0.74 |
42.81 |
51.19% |
W 26-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UConn |
30.46 |
24.20 |
-6.27 |
54.66 |
60.05% |
W 26-21 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Middle Tennessee |
41.33 |
16.90 |
-24.43 |
58.23 |
89.18% |
W 45-17 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
North Carolina |
35.66 |
29.86 |
-5.80 |
65.52 |
59.31% |
W 21-20 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-06 |
@Georgia Tech |
26.31 |
25.91 |
-0.40 |
52.22 |
50.64% |
L 14-24 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-18 |
Florida State |
23.42 |
17.02 |
-6.40 |
40.44 |
60.26% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
SMU |
26.68 |
30.79 |
+4.12 |
57.47 |
43.40% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Miami |
21.75 |
36.32 |
+14.58 |
58.07 |
26.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@NC State |
27.62 |
24.53 |
-3.08 |
52.15 |
54.95% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Virginia Tech |
25.87 |
23.73 |
-2.14 |
49.60 |
53.43% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Wake Forest |
31.27 |
22.56 |
-8.71 |
53.83 |
63.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
1.24% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
8.34% |
1.24% |
98.76% |
| 7-5 |
23.20% |
9.58% |
90.42% |
| 8-4 |
32.39% |
32.77% |
67.23% |
| 9-3 |
24.36% |
65.17% |
34.83% |
| 10-2 |
9.26% |
89.53% |
10.47% |
| 11-1 |
1.22% |
98.79% |
1.21% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.09% |
| 3-9 |
0.86% |
| 4-8 |
3.70% |
| 5-7 |
10.21% |
| 6-6 |
19.26% |
| 7-5 |
24.58% |
| 8-4 |
21.81% |
| 9-3 |
13.28% |
| 10-2 |
5.02% |
| 11-1 |
1.09% |
| 12-0 |
0.11% |