BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Duke 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Duke 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
36.99 (+10.53) |
26.89 |
26.86 (-0.03) |
26.86 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
334.18 |
362.88 (+28.69) |
335.33 |
336.13 (+0.80) |
336.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
6.01 (+0.48) |
5.09 |
5.05 (-0.03) |
5.05 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
16.05 (-4.86) |
24.22 |
23.99 (-0.24) |
23.99 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
367.27 |
367.76 (+0.48) |
362.00 |
365.22 (+3.22) |
365.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.24 |
5.09 (-0.15) |
4.99 |
4.99 (+0.00) |
4.99 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Elon |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 26-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Northwestern |
24.43 |
18.01 |
-6.42 |
42.43 |
60.29% |
W 26-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UConn |
27.72 |
19.61 |
-8.11 |
47.33 |
63.00% |
W 26-21 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Middle Tennessee |
35.78 |
15.92 |
-19.86 |
51.71 |
81.85% |
W 45-17 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
North Carolina |
33.27 |
31.51 |
-1.75 |
64.78 |
52.81% |
W 21-20 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-06 |
@Georgia Tech |
21.30 |
25.40 |
+4.11 |
46.70 |
43.42% |
L 14-24 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-18 |
Florida State |
26.98 |
13.06 |
-13.92 |
40.04 |
72.33% |
W 23-16 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-27 |
SMU |
27.64 |
36.29 |
+8.65 |
63.94 |
36.13% |
L 27-28 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Miami |
25.30 |
45.50 |
+20.20 |
70.80 |
17.60% |
L 31-53 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@NC State |
31.94 |
29.84 |
-2.10 |
61.78 |
53.36% |
W 29-19 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Virginia Tech |
23.64 |
26.81 |
+3.17 |
50.45 |
44.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Wake Forest |
32.10 |
27.48 |
-4.62 |
59.57 |
57.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
23.42% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-4 |
50.83% |
23.42% |
76.58% |
| 9-3 |
25.75% |
74.25% |
25.75% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.19% |
| 3-9 |
1.30% |
| 4-8 |
5.05% |
| 5-7 |
12.98% |
| 6-6 |
21.81% |
| 7-5 |
25.03% |
| 8-4 |
19.48% |
| 9-3 |
10.25% |
| 10-2 |
3.22% |
| 11-1 |
0.64% |
| 12-0 |
0.05% |