BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#62 Duke 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Duke 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#83)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
36.99 (+10.53) |
26.91 |
26.04 (-0.87) |
26.04 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
334.18 |
362.88 (+28.69) |
340.64 |
336.55 (-4.08) |
336.55 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
6.01 (+0.48) |
5.30 |
5.24 (-0.05) |
5.24 (+0.00) |
Defense (#43)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
16.05 (-4.86) |
23.91 |
23.52 (-0.39) |
23.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
367.27 |
367.76 (+0.48) |
361.73 |
363.60 (+1.87) |
363.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.24 |
5.09 (-0.15) |
4.91 |
4.93 (+0.02) |
4.93 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Elon |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 26-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Northwestern |
28.81 |
17.64 |
-11.17 |
46.45 |
67.91% |
W 26-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UConn |
28.58 |
20.44 |
-8.14 |
49.02 |
63.06% |
W 26-21 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Middle Tennessee |
36.01 |
16.43 |
-19.59 |
52.44 |
81.41% |
W 45-17 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
North Carolina |
34.15 |
28.34 |
-5.81 |
62.49 |
59.31% |
W 21-20 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-06 |
@Georgia Tech |
22.06 |
26.61 |
+4.55 |
48.68 |
42.70% |
L 14-24 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-18 |
Florida State |
27.00 |
12.75 |
-14.25 |
39.76 |
72.86% |
W 23-16 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-27 |
SMU |
24.36 |
35.03 |
+10.67 |
59.39 |
32.88% |
L 27-28 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Miami |
24.56 |
42.63 |
+18.07 |
67.19 |
21.02% |
L 31-53 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@NC State |
30.60 |
29.97 |
-0.63 |
60.57 |
51.01% |
W 29-19 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Virginia Tech |
23.28 |
27.19 |
+3.91 |
50.48 |
43.73% |
W 31-28 |
8-3 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Wake Forest |
30.65 |
24.65 |
-6.00 |
55.30 |
59.62% |
W 23-17 |
9-3 |
| 2025-01-03 |
@Ole Miss |
15.84 |
34.95 |
+19.11 |
50.78 |
19.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
80.62% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 10-3 |
19.38% |
80.62% |
19.38% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.11% |
| 3-10 |
0.86% |
| 4-9 |
3.77% |
| 5-8 |
10.38% |
| 6-7 |
19.06% |
| 7-6 |
24.38% |
| 8-5 |
21.62% |
| 9-4 |
13.03% |
| 10-3 |
5.30% |
| 11-2 |
1.29% |
| 12-1 |
0.17% |
| 13-0 |
0.01% |