BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
SMU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
SMU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
38.25 |
36.35 (-1.90) |
37.20 |
42.10 (+4.90) |
39.94 (-2.16) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
455.75 |
426.45 (-29.30) |
399.20 |
403.16 (+3.96) |
411.90 (+8.73) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.43 |
5.87 (-0.56) |
6.09 |
6.41 (+0.32) |
6.21 (-0.20) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.83 |
17.97 (-0.86) |
25.40 |
24.40 (-1.00) |
21.99 (-2.41) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
307.67 |
321.40 (+13.73) |
371.80 |
372.73 (+0.93) |
353.48 (-19.25) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.59 |
4.91 (+0.33) |
5.50 |
5.35 (-0.15) |
5.19 (-0.16) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
@Nevada |
43.23 |
18.03 |
-25.20 |
61.27 |
90.42% |
W 29-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-01 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-7 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-06 |
BYU |
32.39 |
28.02 |
-4.37 |
60.40 |
57.01% |
L 15-18 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
TCU |
51.99 |
31.04 |
-20.95 |
83.02 |
83.60% |
W 66-42 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Florida State |
33.47 |
19.46 |
-14.02 |
52.93 |
72.48% |
W 42-16 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Louisville |
25.47 |
32.22 |
+6.75 |
57.69 |
39.17% |
W 34-27 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Stanford |
41.28 |
16.72 |
-24.55 |
58.00 |
89.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Duke |
30.79 |
26.68 |
-4.12 |
57.47 |
56.60% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Pittsburgh |
39.42 |
24.34 |
-15.08 |
63.75 |
74.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Boston College |
41.63 |
22.05 |
-19.58 |
63.69 |
81.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Virginia |
36.93 |
25.78 |
-11.16 |
62.71 |
67.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
California |
34.42 |
25.19 |
-9.23 |
59.60 |
64.80% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.02% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
0.50% |
0.02% |
99.98% |
| 7-5 |
4.08% |
0.52% |
99.48% |
| 8-4 |
16.14% |
4.60% |
95.40% |
| 9-3 |
32.40% |
20.74% |
79.26% |
| 10-2 |
33.35% |
53.14% |
46.86% |
| 11-1 |
13.52% |
86.49% |
13.51% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.02% |
| 4-8 |
0.20% |
| 5-7 |
1.12% |
| 6-6 |
4.60% |
| 7-5 |
12.37% |
| 8-4 |
22.63% |
| 9-3 |
27.31% |
| 10-2 |
21.15% |
| 11-1 |
8.94% |
| 12-0 |
1.66% |