BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
SMU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
SMU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
38.25 |
36.35 (-1.90) |
37.78 |
39.68 (+1.90) |
39.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
455.75 |
426.45 (-29.30) |
430.22 |
444.12 (+13.90) |
444.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.43 |
5.87 (-0.56) |
6.48 |
6.80 (+0.32) |
6.80 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.83 |
17.97 (-0.86) |
24.11 |
24.66 (+0.55) |
24.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
307.67 |
321.40 (+13.73) |
367.00 |
382.21 (+15.21) |
382.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.59 |
4.91 (+0.33) |
5.08 |
5.19 (+0.11) |
5.19 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
@Nevada |
43.99 |
22.47 |
-21.52 |
66.45 |
84.51% |
W 29-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-01 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-7 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-06 |
BYU |
32.38 |
28.10 |
-4.29 |
60.48 |
56.87% |
L 15-18 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
TCU |
47.38 |
29.65 |
-17.73 |
77.03 |
78.43% |
W 66-42 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Florida State |
38.78 |
13.53 |
-25.25 |
52.32 |
90.49% |
W 42-16 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Louisville |
35.01 |
35.82 |
+0.81 |
70.84 |
48.70% |
W 34-27 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Stanford |
47.04 |
20.37 |
-26.67 |
67.41 |
92.78% |
W 40-10 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Duke |
36.29 |
27.64 |
-8.65 |
63.94 |
63.87% |
W 28-27 |
7-1 |
| 2024-11-03 |
Pittsburgh |
38.97 |
27.30 |
-11.68 |
66.27 |
68.73% |
W 48-25 |
8-1 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Boston College |
43.82 |
23.96 |
-19.86 |
67.79 |
81.85% |
W 38-28 |
9-1 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Virginia |
37.73 |
25.19 |
-12.53 |
62.92 |
70.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
California |
36.33 |
25.08 |
-11.25 |
61.41 |
68.05% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-3 |
9.58% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 10-2 |
42.73% |
9.58% |
90.42% |
| 11-1 |
47.69% |
52.31% |
47.69% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.01% |
| 4-8 |
0.11% |
| 5-7 |
0.68% |
| 6-6 |
3.11% |
| 7-5 |
9.57% |
| 8-4 |
20.02% |
| 9-3 |
27.42% |
| 10-2 |
24.20% |
| 11-1 |
12.11% |
| 12-0 |
2.79% |