BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 09:30 on Monday, January 6, 2025
#10 SMU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
SMU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#10)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
38.25 |
36.35 (-1.90) |
36.83 |
39.11 (+2.27) |
39.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
455.75 |
426.45 (-29.30) |
432.42 |
446.06 (+13.64) |
446.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.43 |
5.87 (-0.56) |
6.39 |
6.67 (+0.28) |
6.67 (+0.00) |
Defense (#25)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.83 |
17.97 (-0.86) |
22.00 |
22.08 (+0.08) |
22.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
307.67 |
321.40 (+13.73) |
337.92 |
341.82 (+3.90) |
341.82 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.59 |
4.91 (+0.33) |
4.74 |
4.81 (+0.07) |
4.81 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
@Nevada |
43.31 |
20.42 |
-22.89 |
63.73 |
86.72% |
W 29-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-01 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-7 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-06 |
BYU |
34.36 |
26.12 |
-8.24 |
60.48 |
63.22% |
L 15-18 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
TCU |
44.91 |
27.23 |
-17.68 |
72.14 |
78.36% |
W 66-42 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Florida State |
39.33 |
11.70 |
-27.63 |
51.03 |
94.32% |
W 42-16 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Louisville |
32.72 |
34.59 |
+1.87 |
67.32 |
47.00% |
W 34-27 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Stanford |
45.55 |
19.70 |
-25.85 |
65.25 |
91.46% |
W 40-10 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Duke |
35.03 |
24.36 |
-10.67 |
59.39 |
67.12% |
W 28-27 |
7-1 |
| 2024-11-03 |
Pittsburgh |
41.64 |
22.39 |
-19.25 |
64.03 |
80.88% |
W 48-25 |
8-1 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Boston College |
41.33 |
22.95 |
-18.38 |
64.29 |
79.48% |
W 38-28 |
9-1 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Virginia |
38.77 |
21.41 |
-17.36 |
60.18 |
77.85% |
W 33-7 |
10-1 |
| 2024-11-30 |
California |
37.27 |
19.80 |
-17.47 |
57.06 |
78.02% |
W 38-6 |
11-1 |
| 2024-12-08 |
Clemson |
36.80 |
30.88 |
-5.91 |
67.68 |
59.48% |
L 31-34 |
11-2 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2024-12-21 |
@Penn State |
28.28 |
32.40 |
+4.12 |
60.68 |
43.39% |
L 10-38 |
11-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-11 |
0.00% |
| 4-10 |
0.01% |
| 5-9 |
0.09% |
| 6-8 |
0.49% |
| 7-7 |
2.28% |
| 8-6 |
7.08% |
| 9-5 |
15.36% |
| 10-4 |
24.02% |
| 11-3 |
25.36% |
| 12-2 |
17.45% |
| 13-1 |
6.72% |
| 14-0 |
1.14% |