BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Louisville 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Louisville 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.83 |
35.60 (+6.77) |
31.00 |
34.97 (+3.97) |
35.20 (+0.24) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
397.08 |
425.20 (+28.12) |
440.00 |
461.11 (+21.11) |
447.65 (-13.47) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
6.68 (+0.55) |
6.83 |
7.24 (+0.42) |
7.03 (-0.21) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.33 |
12.87 (-8.47) |
23.60 |
14.93 (-8.67) |
14.15 (-0.77) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
310.67 |
297.54 (-13.13) |
382.00 |
338.77 (-43.23) |
323.31 (-15.46) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.06 |
4.78 (-0.28) |
5.81 |
5.34 (-0.47) |
5.13 (-0.21) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Austin Peay |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 62-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Jacksonville State |
45.76 |
19.94 |
-25.81 |
65.70 |
91.40% |
W 49-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Georgia Tech |
34.59 |
18.61 |
-15.99 |
53.20 |
75.64% |
W 31-19 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Notre Dame |
20.17 |
28.69 |
+8.52 |
48.86 |
36.34% |
L 24-31 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
SMU |
32.22 |
25.47 |
-6.75 |
57.69 |
60.83% |
L 27-34 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Virginia |
31.32 |
18.04 |
-13.29 |
49.36 |
71.31% |
W 24-20 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Miami |
29.66 |
27.11 |
-2.55 |
56.77 |
54.09% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-25 |
@Boston College |
33.83 |
18.36 |
-15.46 |
52.19 |
74.80% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Clemson |
30.29 |
27.59 |
-2.70 |
57.88 |
54.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Stanford |
36.45 |
10.63 |
-25.82 |
47.07 |
91.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Pittsburgh |
35.03 |
15.89 |
-19.14 |
50.92 |
80.70% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Kentucky |
17.44 |
17.95 |
+0.51 |
35.38 |
49.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
0.05% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
0.93% |
0.05% |
99.95% |
| 6-6 |
6.69% |
0.98% |
99.02% |
| 7-5 |
22.15% |
7.67% |
92.33% |
| 8-4 |
35.02% |
29.82% |
70.18% |
| 9-3 |
27.21% |
64.84% |
35.16% |
| 10-2 |
7.95% |
92.05% |
7.95% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.05% |
| 4-8 |
0.38% |
| 5-7 |
2.01% |
| 6-6 |
7.14% |
| 7-5 |
16.46% |
| 8-4 |
25.65% |
| 9-3 |
25.55% |
| 10-2 |
16.15% |
| 11-1 |
5.71% |
| 12-0 |
0.89% |