BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Louisville 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Louisville 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.83 |
35.60 (+6.77) |
33.22 |
35.60 (+2.38) |
35.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
397.08 |
425.20 (+28.12) |
436.67 |
450.50 (+13.83) |
450.50 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
6.68 (+0.55) |
6.68 |
6.87 (+0.19) |
6.87 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.33 |
12.87 (-8.47) |
28.44 |
22.85 (-5.59) |
22.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
310.67 |
297.54 (-13.13) |
401.78 |
366.02 (-35.76) |
366.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.06 |
4.78 (-0.28) |
5.74 |
5.38 (-0.36) |
5.38 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Austin Peay |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 62-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Jacksonville State |
46.94 |
30.76 |
-16.18 |
77.70 |
75.96% |
W 49-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Georgia Tech |
30.57 |
22.37 |
-8.20 |
52.94 |
63.15% |
W 31-19 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Notre Dame |
19.48 |
38.84 |
+19.36 |
58.33 |
18.95% |
L 24-31 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
SMU |
35.82 |
35.01 |
-0.81 |
70.84 |
51.30% |
L 27-34 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Virginia |
33.52 |
23.46 |
-10.07 |
56.98 |
66.15% |
W 24-20 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Miami |
36.53 |
41.85 |
+5.32 |
78.38 |
41.47% |
L 45-52 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-25 |
@Boston College |
36.41 |
25.38 |
-11.03 |
61.79 |
67.68% |
W 31-27 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Clemson |
31.69 |
35.89 |
+4.20 |
67.58 |
43.27% |
W 33-21 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Stanford |
42.52 |
18.91 |
-23.61 |
61.43 |
87.87% |
L 35-38 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Pittsburgh |
34.83 |
25.71 |
-9.12 |
60.54 |
64.64% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Kentucky |
25.33 |
24.52 |
-0.81 |
49.85 |
51.29% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
17.28% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
49.50% |
17.28% |
82.72% |
| 8-4 |
33.22% |
66.78% |
33.21% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.05% |
| 3-9 |
0.55% |
| 4-8 |
2.66% |
| 5-7 |
8.57% |
| 6-6 |
17.71% |
| 7-5 |
24.93% |
| 8-4 |
23.70% |
| 9-3 |
14.82% |
| 10-2 |
5.62% |
| 11-1 |
1.29% |
| 12-0 |
0.12% |