BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Virginia 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Virginia 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.91 |
28.93 (+6.02) |
23.78 |
23.87 (+0.09) |
23.87 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
355.45 |
375.51 (+20.06) |
376.33 |
374.94 (-1.39) |
374.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.10 |
5.46 (+0.36) |
5.33 |
5.47 (+0.14) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.64 |
25.71 (-9.93) |
29.11 |
24.98 (-4.13) |
24.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
426.36 |
381.99 (-44.37) |
414.22 |
389.54 (-24.68) |
389.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.28 |
5.75 (-0.53) |
5.99 |
5.88 (-0.11) |
5.88 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Richmond |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Wake Forest |
29.28 |
28.99 |
-0.29 |
58.28 |
50.47% |
W 31-30 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
Maryland |
31.45 |
26.96 |
-4.49 |
58.41 |
57.21% |
L 13-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Coastal Carolina |
28.79 |
28.81 |
+0.02 |
57.60 |
49.96% |
W 43-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Boston College |
27.80 |
24.96 |
-2.83 |
52.76 |
54.55% |
W 24-14 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Louisville |
23.46 |
33.52 |
+10.07 |
56.98 |
33.85% |
L 20-24 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Clemson |
20.71 |
38.65 |
+17.93 |
59.36 |
21.24% |
L 31-48 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
North Carolina |
29.92 |
33.11 |
+3.19 |
63.03 |
44.88% |
L 14-41 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Pittsburgh |
21.13 |
29.78 |
+8.65 |
50.90 |
36.12% |
W 24-19 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Notre Dame |
11.15 |
41.82 |
+30.67 |
52.98 |
0.81% |
L 14-35 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
SMU |
25.19 |
37.73 |
+12.53 |
62.92 |
29.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Virginia Tech |
17.62 |
30.66 |
+13.04 |
48.28 |
29.08% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
49.75% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
41.52% |
49.75% |
50.25% |
| 7-5 |
8.73% |
91.27% |
8.73% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.48% |
| 2-10 |
3.27% |
| 3-9 |
10.99% |
| 4-8 |
21.00% |
| 5-7 |
25.84% |
| 6-6 |
20.98% |
| 7-5 |
11.86% |
| 8-4 |
4.40% |
| 9-3 |
1.04% |
| 10-2 |
0.13% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |