BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Virginia 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Virginia 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.91 |
28.93 (+6.02) |
26.20 |
26.35 (+0.15) |
27.31 (+0.97) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
355.45 |
375.51 (+20.06) |
422.60 |
417.44 (-5.16) |
401.72 (-15.72) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.10 |
5.46 (+0.36) |
5.80 |
5.82 (+0.02) |
5.68 (-0.13) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.64 |
25.71 (-9.93) |
23.80 |
22.29 (-1.51) |
23.57 (+1.28) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
426.36 |
381.99 (-44.37) |
404.20 |
406.92 (+2.72) |
397.57 (-9.35) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.28 |
5.75 (-0.53) |
6.00 |
6.10 (+0.10) |
5.97 (-0.13) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Richmond |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Wake Forest |
30.14 |
27.02 |
-3.12 |
57.17 |
55.00% |
W 31-30 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
Maryland |
28.71 |
32.07 |
+3.36 |
60.78 |
44.60% |
L 13-27 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Coastal Carolina |
28.24 |
28.51 |
+0.26 |
56.75 |
49.58% |
W 43-24 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Boston College |
29.37 |
24.65 |
-4.71 |
54.02 |
57.56% |
W 24-14 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Louisville |
18.04 |
31.32 |
+13.29 |
49.36 |
28.69% |
L 20-24 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Clemson |
23.18 |
39.21 |
+16.03 |
62.40 |
24.29% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
North Carolina |
34.56 |
35.37 |
+0.81 |
69.94 |
48.70% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Pittsburgh |
24.75 |
27.48 |
+2.73 |
52.24 |
45.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Notre Dame |
14.33 |
40.34 |
+26.01 |
54.68 |
8.28% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
SMU |
25.78 |
36.93 |
+11.16 |
62.71 |
32.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Virginia Tech |
21.54 |
31.00 |
+9.46 |
52.54 |
34.83% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
8.59% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
27.50% |
8.59% |
91.41% |
| 6-6 |
34.63% |
36.09% |
63.91% |
| 7-5 |
21.24% |
70.72% |
29.28% |
| 8-4 |
6.97% |
91.96% |
8.04% |
| 9-3 |
1.03% |
98.92% |
1.07% |
| 10-2 |
0.04% |
99.96% |
0.04% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.38% |
| 2-10 |
2.59% |
| 3-9 |
9.35% |
| 4-8 |
18.93% |
| 5-7 |
24.84% |
| 6-6 |
22.56% |
| 7-5 |
13.61% |
| 8-4 |
5.86% |
| 9-3 |
1.58% |
| 10-2 |
0.28% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |