BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024

#104 Virginia 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Virginia 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#98)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 22.91 28.93 (+6.02) 21.64 22.56 (+0.92) 22.56 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 355.45 375.51 (+20.06) 348.55 349.53 (+0.98) 349.53 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.10 5.46 (+0.36) 4.97 5.15 (+0.18) 5.15 (+0.00)

Defense (#84)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 35.64 25.71 (-9.93) 30.18 26.34 (-3.85) 26.34 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 426.36 381.99 (-44.37) 420.00 403.19 (-16.81) 403.19 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.28 5.75 (-0.53) 6.19 6.07 (-0.12) 6.07 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.2

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 Richmond Non-FBS Opponent W 34-13 1-0
2024-09-07 @Wake Forest 26.98 27.87 +0.89 54.85 48.58% W 31-30 2-0
2024-09-15 Maryland 29.92 24.96 -4.95 54.88 57.94% L 13-27 2-1
2024-09-21 @Coastal Carolina 26.34 29.35 +3.00 55.69 45.18% W 43-24 3-1
2024-10-05 Boston College 25.13 28.28 +3.15 53.41 44.94% W 24-14 4-1
2024-10-12 Louisville 20.92 36.90 +15.97 57.82 24.38% L 20-24 4-2
2024-10-19 @Clemson 18.50 38.56 +20.06 57.06 17.83% L 31-48 4-3
2024-10-26 North Carolina 30.32 31.78 +1.47 62.10 47.64% L 14-41 4-4
2024-11-10 @Pittsburgh 22.23 28.91 +6.69 51.14 39.28% W 24-19 5-4
2024-11-16 @Notre Dame 11.84 46.10 +34.25 57.94 0.10% L 14-35 5-5
2024-11-23 SMU 21.41 38.77 +17.36 60.18 22.15% L 7-33 5-6
2024-12-01 @Virginia Tech 16.91 32.85 +15.94 49.76 24.44% L 17-37 5-7

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
5-7 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 0.76%
2-10 5.06%
3-9 14.58%
4-8 24.75%
5-7 25.54%
6-6 17.96%
7-5 8.29%
8-4 2.54%
9-3 0.48%
10-2 0.04%
11-1 0.00%