BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#40 California 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
California 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#66)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.64 |
38.86 (+7.22) |
25.64 |
24.08 (-1.55) |
24.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
398.45 |
440.86 (+42.40) |
392.00 |
392.34 (+0.34) |
392.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.45 |
5.91 (+0.47) |
5.74 |
5.65 (-0.09) |
5.65 (+0.00) |
Defense (#29)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
34.09 |
26.05 (-8.04) |
23.00 |
22.85 (-0.15) |
22.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
417.09 |
360.07 (-57.02) |
344.73 |
337.48 (-7.25) |
337.48 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.82 |
5.07 (-0.75) |
5.01 |
5.06 (+0.05) |
5.06 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
UC Davis |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Auburn |
20.59 |
25.48 |
+4.89 |
46.07 |
42.16% |
W 21-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
San Diego State |
30.95 |
12.34 |
-18.61 |
43.30 |
79.84% |
W 31-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Florida State |
21.86 |
14.43 |
-7.43 |
36.29 |
61.92% |
L 9-14 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-06 |
Miami |
25.45 |
39.86 |
+14.40 |
65.31 |
26.90% |
L 38-39 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Pittsburgh |
24.01 |
24.90 |
+0.89 |
48.90 |
48.57% |
L 15-17 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
NC State |
31.03 |
26.33 |
-4.70 |
57.36 |
57.54% |
L 23-24 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Oregon State |
31.76 |
18.65 |
-13.11 |
50.41 |
71.02% |
W 44-7 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Wake Forest |
28.81 |
24.15 |
-4.66 |
52.95 |
57.47% |
W 46-36 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Syracuse |
27.23 |
29.29 |
+2.05 |
56.52 |
46.71% |
L 25-33 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Stanford |
31.82 |
19.02 |
-12.80 |
50.84 |
70.53% |
W 24-21 |
6-5 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@SMU |
19.80 |
37.27 |
+17.47 |
57.06 |
21.98% |
L 6-38 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2024-12-19 |
@UNLV |
20.27 |
29.89 |
+9.62 |
50.16 |
34.57% |
L 13-24 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.14% |
| 3-10 |
0.92% |
| 4-9 |
3.70% |
| 5-8 |
9.93% |
| 6-7 |
18.53% |
| 7-6 |
23.89% |
| 8-5 |
21.81% |
| 9-4 |
13.57% |
| 10-3 |
5.67% |
| 11-2 |
1.59% |
| 12-1 |
0.24% |
| 13-0 |
0.02% |