BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
California 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
California 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.64 |
38.86 (+7.22) |
22.80 |
24.96 (+2.16) |
30.17 (+5.21) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
398.45 |
440.86 (+42.40) |
384.00 |
397.85 (+13.85) |
413.97 (+16.13) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.45 |
5.91 (+0.47) |
5.77 |
6.10 (+0.34) |
6.03 (-0.07) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
34.09 |
26.05 (-8.04) |
18.80 |
16.74 (-2.06) |
20.23 (+3.49) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
417.09 |
360.07 (-57.02) |
339.60 |
297.04 (-42.56) |
320.68 (+23.64) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.82 |
5.07 (-0.75) |
5.01 |
4.42 (-0.60) |
4.66 (+0.25) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
UC Davis |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Auburn |
22.48 |
23.45 |
+0.97 |
45.93 |
48.45% |
W 21-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
San Diego State |
35.45 |
10.04 |
-25.41 |
45.49 |
90.76% |
W 31-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Florida State |
21.43 |
19.77 |
-1.66 |
41.19 |
52.66% |
L 9-14 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-06 |
Miami |
25.74 |
35.90 |
+10.16 |
61.64 |
33.70% |
L 38-39 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Pittsburgh |
27.52 |
24.16 |
-3.36 |
51.68 |
55.39% |
L 15-17 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
NC State |
32.05 |
22.23 |
-9.81 |
54.28 |
65.74% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Oregon State |
32.71 |
23.93 |
-8.79 |
56.64 |
64.09% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Wake Forest |
33.14 |
23.19 |
-9.95 |
56.33 |
65.95% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Syracuse |
29.81 |
21.06 |
-8.75 |
50.87 |
64.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Stanford |
33.92 |
13.59 |
-20.33 |
47.51 |
82.61% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@SMU |
25.19 |
34.42 |
+9.23 |
59.60 |
35.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.16% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
2.24% |
0.16% |
99.84% |
| 5-7 |
10.72% |
2.40% |
97.60% |
| 6-6 |
26.18% |
13.12% |
86.88% |
| 7-5 |
33.91% |
39.30% |
60.70% |
| 8-4 |
21.70% |
73.21% |
26.79% |
| 9-3 |
5.09% |
94.91% |
5.09% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.02% |
| 3-9 |
0.36% |
| 4-8 |
1.80% |
| 5-7 |
6.57% |
| 6-6 |
15.08% |
| 7-5 |
23.66% |
| 8-4 |
24.79% |
| 9-3 |
17.53% |
| 10-2 |
8.01% |
| 11-1 |
1.97% |
| 12-0 |
0.22% |