BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
UNLV 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
UNLV 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.50 |
35.06 (+1.56) |
40.00 |
41.18 (+1.18) |
38.89 (-2.29) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
401.58 |
392.05 (-9.53) |
384.20 |
390.62 (+6.42) |
391.16 (+0.53) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.19 |
5.85 (-0.35) |
6.65 |
6.86 (+0.20) |
6.48 (-0.38) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.08 |
28.30 (+0.22) |
23.80 |
26.79 (+2.99) |
27.36 (+0.57) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
391.00 |
432.02 (+41.02) |
404.60 |
419.45 (+14.85) |
424.17 (+4.72) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.08 |
6.43 (+0.35) |
5.20 |
5.57 (+0.37) |
5.89 (+0.32) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Houston |
30.10 |
18.56 |
-11.54 |
48.66 |
68.52% |
W 27-7 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Utah Tech |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 72-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-13 |
@Kansas |
34.05 |
31.04 |
-3.01 |
65.09 |
54.83% |
W 23-20 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Fresno State |
37.11 |
19.94 |
-17.17 |
57.05 |
77.55% |
W 59-14 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Syracuse |
37.97 |
28.47 |
-9.50 |
66.44 |
65.23% |
L 41-44 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Utah State |
59.13 |
31.59 |
-27.54 |
90.72 |
94.17% |
W 50-34 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Oregon State |
39.15 |
34.91 |
-4.23 |
74.06 |
56.79% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Boise State |
39.05 |
40.69 |
+1.64 |
79.74 |
47.36% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Hawai'i |
43.25 |
19.21 |
-24.04 |
62.46 |
88.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-17 |
San Diego State |
44.05 |
15.34 |
-28.71 |
59.38 |
96.04% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@San José State |
42.14 |
32.18 |
-9.95 |
74.32 |
65.96% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-12-01 |
Nevada |
43.60 |
19.85 |
-23.75 |
63.46 |
88.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
0.17% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
2.58% |
0.18% |
99.82% |
| 8-4 |
14.04% |
2.75% |
97.25% |
| 9-3 |
34.07% |
16.79% |
83.21% |
| 10-2 |
35.86% |
50.87% |
49.13% |
| 11-1 |
13.28% |
86.72% |
13.28% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.07% |
| 5-7 |
0.60% |
| 6-6 |
2.91% |
| 7-5 |
9.73% |
| 8-4 |
20.47% |
| 9-3 |
28.32% |
| 10-2 |
23.90% |
| 11-1 |
11.61% |
| 12-0 |
2.39% |