BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Nevada 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Nevada 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
18.36 |
13.98 (-4.38) |
21.80 |
21.27 (-0.53) |
21.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
295.64 |
248.45 (-47.19) |
358.90 |
348.77 (-10.13) |
348.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.53 |
3.84 (-0.69) |
5.73 |
5.72 (-0.01) |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.45 |
29.25 (-4.20) |
29.80 |
30.23 (+0.43) |
30.23 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.55 |
431.72 (-0.83) |
390.50 |
392.21 (+1.71) |
392.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.94 |
7.00 (+0.06) |
6.05 |
6.05 (-0.01) |
6.05 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
SMU |
22.47 |
43.99 |
+21.52 |
66.45 |
15.49% |
L 24-29 |
0-1 |
| 2024-08-31 |
@Troy |
22.21 |
23.83 |
+1.62 |
46.04 |
47.41% |
W 28-26 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Georgia Southern |
26.20 |
31.81 |
+5.62 |
58.01 |
40.99% |
L 17-20 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Minnesota |
15.86 |
30.62 |
+14.76 |
46.48 |
26.33% |
L 0-27 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Eastern Washington |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-16 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@San José State |
22.73 |
30.22 |
+7.49 |
52.95 |
37.98% |
L 31-35 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Oregon State |
29.51 |
23.74 |
-5.78 |
53.25 |
59.27% |
W 42-37 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Fresno State |
24.31 |
25.63 |
+1.33 |
49.94 |
47.87% |
L 21-24 |
3-5 |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Hawai'i |
21.80 |
19.81 |
-1.99 |
41.61 |
53.19% |
L 13-34 |
3-6 |
| 2024-11-03 |
Colorado State |
21.15 |
22.07 |
+0.91 |
43.22 |
48.54% |
L 21-38 |
3-7 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Boise State |
19.46 |
48.92 |
+29.46 |
68.37 |
2.75% |
L 21-28 |
3-8 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Air Force |
21.75 |
16.96 |
-4.79 |
38.71 |
57.68% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-12-01 |
@UNLV |
20.56 |
41.21 |
+20.65 |
61.77 |
16.88% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-10 |
34.94% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-9 |
55.25% |
34.94% |
65.06% |
| 5-8 |
9.82% |
90.18% |
9.82% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-13 |
0.00% |
| 1-12 |
0.22% |
| 2-11 |
1.84% |
| 3-10 |
7.18% |
| 4-9 |
16.30% |
| 5-8 |
23.91% |
| 6-7 |
23.63% |
| 7-6 |
16.31% |
| 8-5 |
7.75% |
| 9-4 |
2.37% |
| 10-3 |
0.44% |
| 11-2 |
0.06% |
| 12-1 |
0.00% |