BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Nevada 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Nevada 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
18.36 |
13.98 (-4.38) |
23.67 |
21.02 (-2.64) |
19.26 (-1.76) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
295.64 |
248.45 (-47.19) |
358.00 |
328.69 (-29.31) |
308.63 (-20.06) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.53 |
3.84 (-0.69) |
5.78 |
5.33 (-0.45) |
4.96 (-0.37) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.45 |
29.25 (-4.20) |
29.00 |
28.26 (-0.74) |
28.51 (+0.25) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.55 |
431.72 (-0.83) |
412.33 |
427.33 (+14.99) |
428.43 (+1.10) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.94 |
7.00 (+0.06) |
6.13 |
6.51 (+0.38) |
6.63 (+0.12) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
SMU |
18.03 |
43.23 |
+25.20 |
61.27 |
9.58% |
L 24-29 |
0-1 |
| 2024-08-31 |
@Troy |
16.81 |
30.00 |
+13.19 |
46.81 |
28.85% |
W 28-26 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Georgia Southern |
27.22 |
35.75 |
+8.53 |
62.97 |
36.32% |
L 17-20 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Minnesota |
14.09 |
29.29 |
+15.20 |
43.38 |
25.61% |
L 0-27 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Eastern Washington |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-16 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@San José State |
21.69 |
33.34 |
+11.64 |
55.03 |
31.33% |
L 31-35 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Oregon State |
21.77 |
33.53 |
+11.76 |
55.30 |
31.14% |
W 42-37 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Fresno State |
19.72 |
22.01 |
+2.29 |
41.73 |
46.33% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Hawai'i |
21.89 |
19.58 |
-2.31 |
41.48 |
53.71% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-03 |
Colorado State |
24.18 |
21.15 |
-3.03 |
45.33 |
54.86% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Boise State |
17.69 |
44.29 |
+26.60 |
61.97 |
7.33% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Air Force |
21.69 |
12.10 |
-9.58 |
33.79 |
65.37% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-12-01 |
@UNLV |
19.85 |
43.60 |
+23.75 |
63.46 |
11.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-10 |
3.26% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-9 |
17.30% |
3.26% |
96.74% |
| 5-8 |
33.62% |
20.55% |
79.45% |
| 6-7 |
31.09% |
54.17% |
45.83% |
| 7-6 |
12.79% |
85.25% |
14.75% |
| 8-5 |
1.89% |
98.04% |
1.96% |
| 9-4 |
0.07% |
99.94% |
0.07% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.49% |
| 2-11 |
3.61% |
| 3-10 |
11.67% |
| 4-9 |
21.76% |
| 5-8 |
25.84% |
| 6-7 |
20.40% |
| 7-6 |
10.95% |
| 8-5 |
4.07% |
| 9-4 |
1.02% |
| 10-3 |
0.16% |
| 11-2 |
0.01% |
| 12-1 |
0.00% |