BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Troy 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Troy 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.75 |
36.52 (+6.77) |
21.78 |
19.17 (-2.61) |
19.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
388.50 |
365.04 (-23.46) |
342.00 |
316.02 (-25.98) |
316.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.07 |
5.70 (-0.37) |
5.41 |
5.06 (-0.35) |
5.06 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
16.08 |
13.43 (-2.65) |
28.67 |
27.94 (-0.73) |
27.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
296.33 |
296.92 (+0.59) |
369.89 |
371.42 (+1.53) |
371.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
4.89 (+0.10) |
6.10 |
6.07 (-0.03) |
6.07 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Nevada |
23.83 |
22.21 |
-1.62 |
46.04 |
52.59% |
L 26-28 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Memphis |
20.60 |
35.22 |
+14.62 |
55.82 |
26.55% |
L 17-38 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Iowa |
15.80 |
37.47 |
+21.67 |
53.26 |
15.24% |
L 21-38 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Florida A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-12 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
UL Monroe |
22.63 |
22.37 |
-0.26 |
45.00 |
50.42% |
L 9-13 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-03 |
Texas State |
18.83 |
40.00 |
+21.17 |
58.83 |
16.05% |
L 17-38 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-15 |
@South Alabama |
18.24 |
29.84 |
+11.59 |
48.08 |
31.41% |
L 9-25 |
1-6 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Arkansas State |
26.37 |
24.38 |
-1.99 |
50.76 |
53.19% |
L 31-34 |
1-7 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Coastal Carolina |
25.34 |
29.86 |
+4.52 |
55.20 |
42.74% |
W 38-24 |
2-7 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Georgia Southern |
21.51 |
33.41 |
+11.90 |
54.92 |
30.92% |
W 28-20 |
3-7 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Louisiana |
16.60 |
33.61 |
+17.01 |
50.22 |
22.71% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Southern Miss |
29.84 |
10.58 |
-19.26 |
40.42 |
80.89% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
14.81% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
66.92% |
14.81% |
85.19% |
| 5-7 |
18.27% |
81.73% |
18.27% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.24% |
| 2-10 |
2.35% |
| 3-9 |
9.31% |
| 4-8 |
19.87% |
| 5-7 |
26.32% |
| 6-6 |
22.48% |
| 7-5 |
12.93% |
| 8-4 |
5.02% |
| 9-3 |
1.27% |
| 10-2 |
0.20% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |