BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Troy 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Troy 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.75 |
36.52 (+6.77) |
18.00 |
20.32 (+2.32) |
26.39 (+6.08) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
388.50 |
365.04 (-23.46) |
297.60 |
305.18 (+7.58) |
327.62 (+22.45) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.07 |
5.70 (-0.37) |
5.18 |
5.50 (+0.32) |
5.57 (+0.08) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
16.08 |
13.43 (-2.65) |
31.00 |
30.23 (-0.77) |
23.93 (-6.30) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
296.33 |
296.92 (+0.59) |
383.20 |
405.92 (+22.72) |
365.05 (-40.87) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
4.89 (+0.10) |
6.57 |
7.06 (+0.49) |
6.24 (-0.81) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Nevada |
30.00 |
16.81 |
-13.19 |
46.81 |
71.15% |
L 26-28 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Memphis |
25.70 |
30.35 |
+4.65 |
56.04 |
42.55% |
L 17-38 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Iowa |
14.65 |
31.16 |
+16.51 |
45.82 |
23.51% |
L 21-38 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Florida A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-12 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
UL Monroe |
18.24 |
23.37 |
+5.13 |
41.61 |
41.77% |
L 9-13 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-03 |
Texas State |
33.40 |
40.48 |
+7.08 |
73.88 |
38.64% |
L 17-38 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-15 |
@South Alabama |
27.81 |
24.05 |
-3.76 |
51.86 |
56.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Arkansas State |
32.38 |
23.15 |
-9.23 |
55.52 |
64.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Coastal Carolina |
28.90 |
26.91 |
-2.00 |
55.81 |
53.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Georgia Southern |
32.67 |
34.42 |
+1.76 |
67.09 |
47.18% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Louisiana |
29.71 |
26.99 |
-2.71 |
56.70 |
54.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Southern Miss |
39.21 |
5.58 |
-33.63 |
44.80 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
1.74% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
11.09% |
1.74% |
98.26% |
| 4-8 |
27.36% |
12.84% |
87.17% |
| 5-7 |
34.31% |
40.19% |
59.81% |
| 6-6 |
20.55% |
74.50% |
25.50% |
| 7-5 |
4.95% |
95.05% |
4.95% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.08% |
| 3-9 |
0.88% |
| 4-8 |
4.36% |
| 5-7 |
12.09% |
| 6-6 |
21.39% |
| 7-5 |
25.55% |
| 8-4 |
20.42% |
| 9-3 |
10.84% |
| 10-2 |
3.65% |
| 11-1 |
0.69% |
| 12-0 |
0.06% |