BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Louisiana 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Louisiana 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.73 |
35.77 (+4.04) |
33.00 |
22.85 (-10.15) |
27.69 (+4.84) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
395.36 |
369.61 (-25.75) |
418.20 |
410.88 (-7.32) |
395.41 (-15.48) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.34 |
5.98 (-0.36) |
6.80 |
6.81 (+0.00) |
6.50 (-0.31) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.55 |
30.16 (+0.61) |
25.20 |
29.92 (+4.72) |
30.01 (+0.09) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
388.18 |
428.75 (+40.57) |
313.80 |
377.49 (+63.69) |
396.71 (+19.23) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.51 |
6.02 (+0.52) |
5.16 |
5.99 (+0.82) |
6.00 (+0.01) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Grambling |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 40-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Kennesaw State |
42.34 |
16.65 |
-25.69 |
58.98 |
91.20% |
W 34-10 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Tulane |
29.88 |
42.17 |
+12.29 |
72.05 |
30.29% |
L 33-41 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Wake Forest |
30.47 |
33.09 |
+2.61 |
63.56 |
45.81% |
W 41-38 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Southern Miss |
40.08 |
10.78 |
-29.30 |
50.86 |
97.00% |
W 23-13 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
App State |
44.99 |
14.95 |
-30.04 |
59.95 |
98.18% |
W 34-24 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Coastal Carolina |
28.82 |
35.28 |
+6.47 |
64.10 |
39.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-29 |
@Texas State |
33.70 |
49.70 |
+16.00 |
83.40 |
24.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Arkansas State |
36.29 |
25.01 |
-11.28 |
61.29 |
68.09% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
South Alabama |
30.27 |
28.79 |
-1.48 |
59.05 |
52.37% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Troy |
26.99 |
29.71 |
+2.71 |
56.70 |
45.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@UL Monroe |
18.33 |
26.82 |
+8.49 |
45.15 |
36.39% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
2.37% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
13.36% |
2.37% |
97.63% |
| 7-5 |
29.10% |
15.74% |
84.26% |
| 8-4 |
31.46% |
44.83% |
55.17% |
| 9-3 |
17.91% |
76.29% |
23.71% |
| 10-2 |
5.23% |
94.20% |
5.80% |
| 11-1 |
0.57% |
99.43% |
0.57% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.00% |
| 3-9 |
0.14% |
| 4-8 |
1.65% |
| 5-7 |
7.83% |
| 6-6 |
19.14% |
| 7-5 |
27.63% |
| 8-4 |
24.30% |
| 9-3 |
13.74% |
| 10-2 |
4.61% |
| 11-1 |
0.90% |
| 12-0 |
0.08% |