BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
BYU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
BYU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
21.45 |
30.83 (+9.38) |
33.00 |
34.91 (+1.91) |
33.38 (-1.53) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
301.64 |
314.03 (+12.39) |
360.80 |
351.28 (-9.52) |
337.31 (-13.97) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
4.93 (+0.14) |
5.90 |
5.96 (+0.06) |
5.57 (-0.39) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.09 |
26.28 (-4.81) |
17.00 |
13.84 (-3.16) |
18.50 (+4.67) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
419.45 |
374.74 (-44.72) |
324.20 |
317.12 (-7.08) |
338.73 (+21.61) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.93 |
5.50 (-0.43) |
4.37 |
4.00 (-0.36) |
4.57 (+0.56) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Southern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-06 |
@SMU |
28.02 |
32.39 |
+4.37 |
60.40 |
42.99% |
W 18-15 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
@Wyoming |
38.00 |
16.39 |
-21.61 |
54.40 |
84.66% |
W 34-14 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-22 |
Kansas State |
24.89 |
28.92 |
+4.03 |
53.81 |
43.53% |
W 38-9 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Baylor |
35.24 |
24.98 |
-10.27 |
60.22 |
66.47% |
W 34-28 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Arizona |
30.05 |
23.39 |
-6.66 |
53.45 |
60.68% |
W 41-19 |
6-0 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Oklahoma State |
38.75 |
23.17 |
-15.58 |
61.92 |
74.99% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@UCF |
34.22 |
24.33 |
-9.89 |
58.56 |
65.86% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Utah |
21.26 |
17.21 |
-4.05 |
38.47 |
56.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Kansas |
31.49 |
20.40 |
-11.09 |
51.89 |
67.79% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Arizona State |
27.15 |
23.90 |
-3.25 |
51.05 |
55.22% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Houston |
27.77 |
10.48 |
-17.29 |
38.25 |
77.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
0.12% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
1.54% |
0.12% |
99.88% |
| 8-4 |
8.21% |
1.66% |
98.34% |
| 9-3 |
22.54% |
9.88% |
90.12% |
| 10-2 |
33.80% |
32.42% |
67.58% |
| 11-1 |
25.61% |
66.22% |
33.78% |
| 12-0 |
8.17% |
91.83% |
8.17% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.02% |
| 3-9 |
0.20% |
| 4-8 |
1.13% |
| 5-7 |
4.43% |
| 6-6 |
11.40% |
| 7-5 |
20.27% |
| 8-4 |
25.11% |
| 9-3 |
21.53% |
| 10-2 |
11.72% |
| 11-1 |
3.70% |
| 12-0 |
0.49% |