BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Utah 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Utah 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.91 |
29.90 (+5.99) |
22.40 |
15.91 (-6.49) |
21.16 (+5.25) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
355.36 |
390.08 (+34.72) |
384.20 |
340.40 (-43.80) |
359.03 (+18.63) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.17 |
5.57 (+0.40) |
5.39 |
5.06 (-0.34) |
5.25 (+0.19) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
9.85 (-11.06) |
20.40 |
18.85 (-1.55) |
15.47 (-3.37) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
325.27 |
240.11 (-85.17) |
321.60 |
278.37 (-43.23) |
264.02 (-14.35) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.51 |
4.53 (-0.98) |
5.34 |
5.07 (-0.28) |
4.87 (-0.20) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Southern Utah |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Baylor |
26.06 |
18.50 |
-7.56 |
44.55 |
62.13% |
W 23-12 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Utah State |
37.05 |
19.33 |
-17.72 |
56.38 |
78.42% |
W 38-21 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Oklahoma State |
22.57 |
23.23 |
+0.66 |
45.80 |
48.94% |
W 22-19 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Arizona |
19.65 |
19.38 |
-0.28 |
39.03 |
50.45% |
L 10-23 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Arizona State |
16.72 |
21.14 |
+4.42 |
37.86 |
42.91% |
L 19-27 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-20 |
TCU |
31.77 |
23.31 |
-8.46 |
55.07 |
63.57% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Houston |
14.68 |
8.81 |
-5.86 |
23.49 |
59.40% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
BYU |
17.21 |
21.26 |
+4.05 |
38.47 |
43.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Colorado |
21.68 |
24.86 |
+3.18 |
46.55 |
44.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Iowa State |
14.43 |
22.21 |
+7.79 |
36.64 |
37.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@UCF |
22.82 |
21.23 |
-1.59 |
44.06 |
52.54% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
1.34% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
8.83% |
1.34% |
98.66% |
| 6-6 |
23.36% |
10.17% |
89.83% |
| 7-5 |
31.73% |
33.53% |
66.47% |
| 8-4 |
24.00% |
65.26% |
34.74% |
| 9-3 |
9.21% |
89.26% |
10.74% |
| 10-2 |
1.53% |
98.48% |
1.52% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.02% |
| 2-10 |
0.27% |
| 3-9 |
1.40% |
| 4-8 |
5.38% |
| 5-7 |
13.04% |
| 6-6 |
20.97% |
| 7-5 |
24.47% |
| 8-4 |
19.29% |
| 9-3 |
10.50% |
| 10-2 |
3.73% |
| 11-1 |
0.85% |
| 12-0 |
0.07% |