BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024

#27 UCF 2024 Season Summary

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National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

UCF 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#15)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 31.09 34.22 (+3.13) 28.00 32.80 (+4.80) 32.80 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 475.18 485.11 (+9.93) 430.36 467.87 (+37.50) 467.87 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 7.23 7.15 (-0.08) 6.35 6.79 (+0.45) 6.79 (+0.00)

Defense (#58)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 26.45 20.02 (-6.43) 29.09 30.51 (+1.42) 30.51 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 394.36 358.48 (-35.88) 354.64 343.48 (-11.15) 343.48 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.78 5.54 (-0.25) 5.34 5.19 (-0.15) 5.19 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.7

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-29 New Hampshire Non-FBS Opponent W 57-3 1-0
2024-09-07 Sam Houston 30.15 20.57 -9.58 50.71 65.37% W 45-14 2-0
2024-09-14 @TCU 36.14 38.73 +2.58 74.87 45.86% W 35-34 3-0
2024-09-28 Colorado 29.39 39.14 +9.76 68.53 34.35% L 21-48 3-1
2024-10-05 @Florida 29.46 38.48 +9.02 67.93 35.54% L 13-24 3-2
2024-10-12 Cincinnati 30.50 30.16 -0.33 60.66 50.54% L 13-19 3-3
2024-10-19 @Iowa State 27.56 39.17 +11.61 66.72 31.38% L 35-38 3-4
2024-10-26 BYU 28.68 35.29 +6.61 63.97 39.39% L 24-37 3-5
2024-11-02 Arizona 41.06 26.06 -15.00 67.11 74.06% W 56-12 4-5
2024-11-10 @Arizona State 25.41 40.15 +14.74 65.56 26.37% L 31-35 4-6
2024-11-23 @West Virginia 37.07 33.07 -4.01 70.14 56.42% L 21-31 4-7
2024-11-30 Utah 27.87 23.22 -4.65 51.09 57.45% L 14-28 4-8

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
4-8 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 0.06%
2-10 0.67%
3-9 3.49%
4-8 10.22%
5-7 19.43%
6-6 24.92%
7-5 21.41%
8-4 13.01%
9-3 5.24%
10-2 1.36%
11-1 0.19%
12-0 0.01%