BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
UCF 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
UCF 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.09 |
34.22 (+3.13) |
30.33 |
36.65 (+6.32) |
36.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
475.18 |
485.11 (+9.93) |
445.22 |
490.59 (+45.37) |
490.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.23 |
7.15 (-0.08) |
6.56 |
7.17 (+0.61) |
7.17 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
20.02 (-6.43) |
29.00 |
29.69 (+0.69) |
29.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
394.36 |
358.48 (-35.88) |
376.11 |
352.83 (-23.28) |
352.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.78 |
5.54 (-0.25) |
5.62 |
5.33 (-0.29) |
5.33 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
New Hampshire |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 57-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Sam Houston |
36.93 |
21.99 |
-14.94 |
58.91 |
73.96% |
W 45-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@TCU |
42.00 |
37.45 |
-4.55 |
79.46 |
57.30% |
W 35-34 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Colorado |
34.07 |
39.66 |
+5.59 |
73.73 |
41.03% |
L 21-48 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Florida |
34.58 |
37.69 |
+3.11 |
72.27 |
45.01% |
L 13-24 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Cincinnati |
32.35 |
32.53 |
+0.18 |
64.88 |
49.71% |
L 13-19 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Iowa State |
27.19 |
38.81 |
+11.63 |
66.00 |
31.35% |
L 35-38 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
BYU |
29.55 |
33.33 |
+3.78 |
62.89 |
43.94% |
L 24-37 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Arizona |
42.33 |
26.19 |
-16.14 |
68.52 |
75.89% |
W 56-12 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Arizona State |
30.75 |
35.66 |
+4.91 |
66.41 |
42.13% |
L 31-35 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@West Virginia |
40.27 |
35.89 |
-4.38 |
76.16 |
57.03% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Utah |
31.60 |
20.75 |
-10.86 |
52.35 |
67.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
14.02% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
47.59% |
14.02% |
85.98% |
| 6-6 |
38.38% |
61.62% |
38.38% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.02% |
| 2-10 |
0.21% |
| 3-9 |
1.33% |
| 4-8 |
5.23% |
| 5-7 |
12.99% |
| 6-6 |
21.64% |
| 7-5 |
24.48% |
| 8-4 |
19.29% |
| 9-3 |
10.38% |
| 10-2 |
3.65% |
| 11-1 |
0.70% |
| 12-0 |
0.08% |