BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
UCF 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
UCF 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.09 |
34.22 (+3.13) |
25.40 |
28.20 (+2.80) |
30.46 (+2.26) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
475.18 |
485.11 (+9.93) |
361.40 |
384.96 (+23.56) |
422.52 (+37.56) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.23 |
7.15 (-0.08) |
4.91 |
5.30 (+0.39) |
5.99 (+0.69) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
20.02 (-6.43) |
27.80 |
33.44 (+5.64) |
28.41 (-5.03) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
394.36 |
358.48 (-35.88) |
303.20 |
286.87 (-16.33) |
313.72 (+26.85) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.78 |
5.54 (-0.25) |
4.96 |
5.00 (+0.04) |
5.20 (+0.20) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
New Hampshire |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 57-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Sam Houston |
35.38 |
22.30 |
-13.08 |
57.69 |
70.98% |
W 45-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@TCU |
38.98 |
40.64 |
+1.67 |
79.62 |
47.33% |
W 35-34 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Colorado |
33.72 |
36.15 |
+2.43 |
69.87 |
46.11% |
L 21-48 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Florida |
24.87 |
35.30 |
+10.43 |
60.17 |
33.27% |
L 13-24 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Cincinnati |
28.74 |
33.08 |
+4.33 |
61.82 |
43.05% |
L 13-19 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Iowa State |
18.58 |
40.50 |
+21.92 |
59.07 |
14.84% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
BYU |
24.33 |
34.22 |
+9.89 |
58.56 |
34.14% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Arizona |
27.56 |
34.94 |
+7.39 |
62.50 |
38.15% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Arizona State |
24.95 |
34.13 |
+9.19 |
59.08 |
35.27% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@West Virginia |
26.30 |
37.70 |
+11.41 |
64.00 |
31.71% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Utah |
21.23 |
22.82 |
+1.59 |
44.06 |
47.46% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
8.12% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
25.97% |
8.12% |
91.89% |
| 5-7 |
33.73% |
34.08% |
65.92% |
| 6-6 |
22.55% |
67.81% |
32.19% |
| 7-5 |
8.09% |
90.37% |
9.63% |
| 8-4 |
1.46% |
98.46% |
1.54% |
| 9-3 |
0.09% |
99.91% |
0.09% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.26% |
| 2-10 |
2.19% |
| 3-9 |
8.10% |
| 4-8 |
17.72% |
| 5-7 |
24.58% |
| 6-6 |
22.88% |
| 7-5 |
15.06% |
| 8-4 |
6.73% |
| 9-3 |
2.08% |
| 10-2 |
0.37% |
| 11-1 |
0.05% |