BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Florida 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Florida 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.55 |
34.84 (+8.29) |
24.60 |
27.81 (+3.21) |
30.44 (+2.64) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
395.00 |
431.10 (+36.10) |
357.80 |
408.15 (+50.35) |
416.76 (+8.61) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.87 |
6.44 (+0.57) |
5.93 |
6.55 (+0.62) |
6.51 (-0.04) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.45 |
20.59 (-8.86) |
27.60 |
21.79 (-5.81) |
21.34 (-0.45) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
405.91 |
380.96 (-24.95) |
416.40 |
359.87 (-56.53) |
367.78 (+7.91) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.58 |
6.00 (-0.58) |
5.74 |
5.30 (-0.44) |
5.56 (+0.26) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Miami |
25.60 |
36.92 |
+11.32 |
62.53 |
31.85% |
L 17-41 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Samford |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Texas A&M |
20.18 |
31.03 |
+10.85 |
51.21 |
32.60% |
L 20-33 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Mississippi State |
33.39 |
26.77 |
-6.62 |
60.16 |
60.62% |
W 45-28 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
UCF |
35.30 |
24.87 |
-10.43 |
60.17 |
66.73% |
W 24-13 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Tennessee |
18.69 |
34.76 |
+16.07 |
53.45 |
24.23% |
L 17-23 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Kentucky |
16.63 |
22.88 |
+6.24 |
39.51 |
39.99% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Georgia |
15.47 |
34.70 |
+19.23 |
50.17 |
19.15% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Texas |
9.25 |
41.77 |
+32.52 |
51.02 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
LSU |
26.57 |
38.08 |
+11.51 |
64.65 |
31.54% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Ole Miss |
17.98 |
31.90 |
+13.93 |
49.88 |
27.66% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Florida State |
21.23 |
21.33 |
+0.10 |
42.56 |
49.83% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
12.03% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
32.97% |
12.03% |
87.97% |
| 5-7 |
34.29% |
44.99% |
55.01% |
| 6-6 |
16.57% |
79.28% |
20.72% |
| 7-5 |
3.85% |
95.85% |
4.15% |
| 8-4 |
0.30% |
99.70% |
0.30% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.57% |
| 2-10 |
4.14% |
| 3-9 |
13.18% |
| 4-8 |
23.89% |
| 5-7 |
26.25% |
| 6-6 |
19.20% |
| 7-5 |
9.10% |
| 8-4 |
3.03% |
| 9-3 |
0.58% |
| 10-2 |
0.06% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |