BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Arizona 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Arizona 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.00 |
40.20 (+6.20) |
26.40 |
27.50 (+1.10) |
32.26 (+4.76) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
451.18 |
496.57 (+45.39) |
425.60 |
431.26 (+5.66) |
455.75 (+24.49) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
7.30 (+0.60) |
6.54 |
6.66 (+0.12) |
6.90 (+0.24) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.45 |
16.30 (-6.15) |
29.80 |
24.44 (-5.36) |
21.39 (-3.05) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
350.82 |
316.17 (-34.65) |
391.40 |
339.22 (-52.18) |
330.58 (-8.64) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.46 |
5.05 (-0.41) |
5.95 |
5.51 (-0.44) |
5.33 (-0.17) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
New Mexico |
58.22 |
26.98 |
-31.23 |
85.20 |
99.90% |
W 61-39 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Northern Arizona |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 22-10 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Kansas State |
18.99 |
36.06 |
+17.07 |
55.05 |
22.63% |
L 7-31 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@Utah |
19.38 |
19.65 |
+0.28 |
39.03 |
49.55% |
W 23-10 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-06 |
Texas Tech |
27.70 |
30.69 |
+2.99 |
58.40 |
45.20% |
L 22-28 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@BYU |
23.39 |
30.05 |
+6.66 |
53.45 |
39.32% |
L 19-41 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Colorado |
35.01 |
29.02 |
-6.00 |
64.03 |
59.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
West Virginia |
29.52 |
27.11 |
-2.41 |
56.63 |
53.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@UCF |
34.94 |
27.56 |
-7.39 |
62.50 |
61.85% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Houston |
25.97 |
12.19 |
-13.78 |
38.16 |
72.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@TCU |
41.80 |
32.46 |
-9.34 |
74.27 |
64.98% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Arizona State |
28.92 |
24.71 |
-4.21 |
53.63 |
56.75% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.30% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
3.06% |
0.30% |
99.70% |
| 5-7 |
12.33% |
3.36% |
96.64% |
| 6-6 |
26.69% |
15.69% |
84.31% |
| 7-5 |
32.13% |
42.37% |
57.63% |
| 8-4 |
20.24% |
74.50% |
25.50% |
| 9-3 |
5.26% |
94.74% |
5.26% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.47% |
| 4-8 |
2.74% |
| 5-7 |
8.95% |
| 6-6 |
18.47% |
| 7-5 |
25.12% |
| 8-4 |
23.32% |
| 9-3 |
14.23% |
| 10-2 |
5.42% |
| 11-1 |
1.14% |
| 12-0 |
0.11% |