BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Arizona 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Arizona 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.00 |
40.20 (+6.20) |
22.67 |
22.51 (-0.16) |
22.51 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
451.18 |
496.57 (+45.39) |
373.00 |
391.02 (+18.02) |
391.02 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
7.30 (+0.60) |
5.84 |
6.05 (+0.20) |
6.05 (+0.00) |
Defense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.45 |
16.30 (-6.15) |
30.33 |
29.23 (-1.10) |
29.23 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
350.82 |
316.17 (-34.65) |
409.33 |
390.05 (-19.28) |
390.05 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.46 |
5.05 (-0.41) |
6.18 |
6.02 (-0.16) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +2.0 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-09-01 |
New Mexico |
40.08 |
34.72 |
-5.36 |
74.79 |
58.60% |
W 61-39 |
1-0 |
2024-09-08 |
Northern Arizona |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 22-10 |
2-0 |
2024-09-14 |
@Kansas State |
17.50 |
36.94 |
+19.44 |
54.45 |
18.82% |
L 7-31 |
2-1 |
2024-09-29 |
@Utah |
16.35 |
23.20 |
+6.85 |
39.54 |
39.01% |
W 23-10 |
3-1 |
2024-10-06 |
Texas Tech |
26.55 |
37.98 |
+11.43 |
64.53 |
31.66% |
L 22-28 |
3-2 |
2024-10-12 |
@BYU |
14.99 |
35.49 |
+20.50 |
50.48 |
17.12% |
L 19-41 |
3-3 |
2024-10-19 |
Colorado |
20.61 |
40.24 |
+19.63 |
60.85 |
18.51% |
L 7-34 |
3-4 |
2024-10-26 |
West Virginia |
27.44 |
33.05 |
+5.61 |
60.48 |
41.00% |
L 26-31 |
3-5 |
2024-11-02 |
@UCF |
26.19 |
42.33 |
+16.14 |
68.52 |
24.11% |
L 12-56 |
3-6 |
2024-11-16 |
Houston |
20.66 |
17.37 |
-3.29 |
38.02 |
55.28% |
W 27-3 |
4-6 |
2024-11-23 |
@TCU |
27.18 |
36.58 |
+9.40 |
63.76 |
34.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-30 |
Arizona State |
20.07 |
33.30 |
+13.22 |
53.37 |
28.79% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
4-8 |
46.61% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
5-7 |
43.59% |
46.61% |
53.39% |
6-6 |
9.79% |
90.21% |
9.79% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
1-11 |
0.90% |
2-10 |
5.74% |
3-9 |
15.54% |
4-8 |
24.60% |
5-7 |
24.84% |
6-6 |
17.10% |
7-5 |
8.04% |
8-4 |
2.55% |
9-3 |
0.61% |
10-2 |
0.09% |
11-1 |
0.01% |