BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Baylor 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Baylor 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.45 |
28.43 (+5.97) |
24.60 |
31.46 (+6.86) |
30.33 (-1.14) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
375.82 |
410.34 (+34.52) |
338.80 |
380.60 (+41.80) |
391.75 (+11.15) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.35 |
5.54 (+0.19) |
5.48 |
6.08 (+0.60) |
5.88 (-0.20) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.73 |
28.35 (-7.38) |
28.20 |
28.64 (+0.44) |
28.53 (-0.11) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
437.18 |
382.90 (-54.28) |
366.00 |
369.97 (+3.97) |
374.82 (+4.85) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.85 |
6.42 (-0.43) |
5.27 |
5.41 (+0.14) |
5.79 (+0.38) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Tarleton State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Utah |
18.50 |
26.06 |
+7.56 |
44.55 |
37.87% |
L 12-23 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Air Force |
33.69 |
12.56 |
-21.13 |
46.25 |
83.90% |
W 31-3 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 |
@Colorado |
30.86 |
39.40 |
+8.54 |
70.26 |
36.31% |
L 31-38 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
BYU |
24.98 |
35.24 |
+10.27 |
60.22 |
33.53% |
L 28-34 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Iowa State |
18.55 |
40.41 |
+21.86 |
58.96 |
14.93% |
L 21-43 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Texas Tech |
24.38 |
41.93 |
+17.55 |
66.31 |
21.84% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Oklahoma State |
35.99 |
34.44 |
-1.55 |
70.43 |
52.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
TCU |
42.22 |
38.71 |
-3.51 |
80.93 |
55.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@West Virginia |
26.23 |
37.91 |
+11.68 |
64.14 |
31.27% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Houston |
22.59 |
19.78 |
-2.81 |
42.37 |
54.50% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Kansas |
29.50 |
30.82 |
+1.33 |
60.32 |
47.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
2.60% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
13.77% |
2.60% |
97.40% |
| 4-8 |
29.39% |
16.37% |
83.63% |
| 5-7 |
31.19% |
45.76% |
54.24% |
| 6-6 |
17.66% |
76.95% |
23.05% |
| 7-5 |
4.88% |
94.61% |
5.39% |
| 8-4 |
0.51% |
99.49% |
0.51% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.09% |
| 2-10 |
1.15% |
| 3-9 |
5.56% |
| 4-8 |
14.76% |
| 5-7 |
23.54% |
| 6-6 |
25.07% |
| 7-5 |
17.88% |
| 8-4 |
8.62% |
| 9-3 |
2.77% |
| 10-2 |
0.49% |
| 11-1 |
0.06% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |