BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Wisconsin 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Wisconsin 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.83 |
28.13 (+5.30) |
30.60 |
28.85 (-1.75) |
28.58 (-0.27) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
365.75 |
377.51 (+11.76) |
418.20 |
388.18 (-30.02) |
384.18 (-4.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.28 |
5.65 (+0.37) |
5.99 |
5.52 (-0.47) |
5.57 (+0.05) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.92 |
16.41 (-2.50) |
21.40 |
19.43 (-1.97) |
18.30 (-1.13) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
329.33 |
359.97 (+30.63) |
325.20 |
326.77 (+1.57) |
339.22 (+12.45) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.95 |
5.24 (+0.29) |
5.33 |
5.02 (-0.31) |
5.10 (+0.08) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Western Michigan |
42.11 |
12.95 |
-29.16 |
55.06 |
96.77% |
W 28-14 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
South Dakota |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 27-13 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Alabama |
19.18 |
35.29 |
+16.11 |
54.47 |
24.16% |
L 10-42 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@USC |
23.03 |
30.83 |
+7.80 |
53.87 |
37.49% |
L 21-38 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Purdue |
44.88 |
18.71 |
-26.16 |
63.59 |
91.96% |
W 52-6 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Rutgers |
23.63 |
19.74 |
-3.89 |
43.36 |
56.24% |
W 42-7 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Northwestern |
21.96 |
20.52 |
-1.44 |
42.48 |
52.31% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Penn State |
17.74 |
25.99 |
+8.25 |
43.73 |
36.77% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Iowa |
16.35 |
24.42 |
+8.08 |
40.77 |
37.04% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Oregon |
16.74 |
32.84 |
+16.10 |
49.58 |
24.17% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Nebraska |
16.20 |
15.30 |
-0.90 |
31.50 |
51.45% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Minnesota |
24.62 |
16.53 |
-8.09 |
41.14 |
62.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
2.67% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
13.81% |
2.67% |
97.33% |
| 6-6 |
29.04% |
16.48% |
83.52% |
| 7-5 |
31.11% |
45.52% |
54.48% |
| 8-4 |
17.87% |
76.63% |
23.37% |
| 9-3 |
4.96% |
94.50% |
5.50% |
| 10-2 |
0.54% |
99.47% |
0.53% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.06% |
| 3-9 |
0.95% |
| 4-8 |
5.21% |
| 5-7 |
14.39% |
| 6-6 |
24.05% |
| 7-5 |
25.84% |
| 8-4 |
18.47% |
| 9-3 |
8.38% |
| 10-2 |
2.25% |
| 11-1 |
0.36% |
| 12-0 |
0.03% |