BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.50 |
30.88 (+6.38) |
28.20 |
27.02 (-1.18) |
28.46 (+1.45) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
387.50 |
408.04 (+20.54) |
361.60 |
360.49 (-1.11) |
378.32 (+17.83) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.83 |
6.38 (+0.55) |
5.70 |
5.57 (-0.13) |
5.87 (+0.30) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.42 |
26.34 (-3.08) |
24.00 |
25.28 (+1.28) |
25.67 (+0.40) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
378.42 |
409.67 (+31.26) |
378.60 |
374.75 (-3.85) |
387.85 (+13.10) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.34 |
5.45 (+0.11) |
6.04 |
5.91 (-0.13) |
5.74 (-0.17) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Kansas |
26.49 |
27.67 |
+1.18 |
54.16 |
48.11% |
W 23-17 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Central Michigan |
41.47 |
15.82 |
-25.64 |
57.29 |
91.13% |
W 30-9 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Nebraska |
15.99 |
21.64 |
+5.65 |
37.63 |
40.93% |
W 31-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Penn State |
15.20 |
37.87 |
+22.66 |
53.07 |
13.65% |
L 7-21 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Purdue |
44.59 |
26.27 |
-18.32 |
70.86 |
79.39% |
W 50-49 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Michigan |
21.30 |
33.17 |
+11.86 |
54.47 |
30.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Oregon |
14.13 |
44.97 |
+30.84 |
59.10 |
0.54% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Minnesota |
24.40 |
23.46 |
-0.94 |
47.86 |
51.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Michigan State |
25.84 |
20.58 |
-5.26 |
46.42 |
58.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Rutgers |
23.30 |
26.92 |
+3.62 |
50.23 |
44.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Northwestern |
21.77 |
27.65 |
+5.88 |
49.41 |
40.57% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
4.59% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
20.18% |
4.59% |
95.41% |
| 7-5 |
34.39% |
24.78% |
75.22% |
| 8-4 |
27.81% |
59.17% |
40.83% |
| 9-3 |
11.19% |
86.98% |
13.02% |
| 10-2 |
1.83% |
98.17% |
1.83% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |
99.99% |
0.01% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.03% |
| 2-10 |
0.44% |
| 3-9 |
3.07% |
| 4-8 |
11.13% |
| 5-7 |
22.03% |
| 6-6 |
27.38% |
| 7-5 |
21.44% |
| 8-4 |
10.63% |
| 9-3 |
3.29% |
| 10-2 |
0.52% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |