BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.50 |
30.88 (+6.38) |
25.11 |
26.58 (+1.47) |
26.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
387.50 |
408.04 (+20.54) |
343.22 |
363.25 (+20.03) |
363.25 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.83 |
6.38 (+0.55) |
5.45 |
5.64 (+0.19) |
5.64 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.42 |
26.34 (-3.08) |
22.89 |
25.84 (+2.96) |
25.84 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
378.42 |
409.67 (+31.26) |
382.89 |
408.59 (+25.70) |
408.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.34 |
5.45 (+0.11) |
5.88 |
5.99 (+0.11) |
5.99 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Kansas |
27.18 |
30.34 |
+3.16 |
57.53 |
44.93% |
W 23-17 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Central Michigan |
39.13 |
16.13 |
-22.99 |
55.26 |
86.88% |
W 30-9 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Nebraska |
20.85 |
23.12 |
+2.27 |
43.97 |
46.36% |
W 31-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Penn State |
15.24 |
35.00 |
+19.76 |
50.23 |
18.31% |
L 7-21 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Purdue |
45.85 |
18.40 |
-27.45 |
64.25 |
94.02% |
W 50-49 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Michigan |
23.36 |
23.40 |
+0.04 |
46.77 |
49.94% |
W 21-7 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Oregon |
16.92 |
37.26 |
+20.34 |
54.19 |
17.37% |
L 9-38 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Minnesota |
22.74 |
23.71 |
+0.97 |
46.44 |
48.44% |
L 17-25 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Michigan State |
28.72 |
18.87 |
-9.85 |
47.59 |
65.79% |
W 38-16 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Rutgers |
28.51 |
27.32 |
-1.19 |
55.84 |
51.91% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Northwestern |
24.10 |
19.73 |
-4.37 |
43.84 |
57.02% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
20.66% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 8-4 |
49.63% |
20.66% |
79.34% |
| 9-3 |
29.71% |
70.29% |
29.71% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.09% |
| 3-9 |
0.92% |
| 4-8 |
4.59% |
| 5-7 |
13.10% |
| 6-6 |
23.08% |
| 7-5 |
26.18% |
| 8-4 |
19.50% |
| 9-3 |
9.39% |
| 10-2 |
2.67% |
| 11-1 |
0.43% |
| 12-0 |
0.03% |