BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#77 Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#57)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.50 |
30.88 (+6.38) |
27.45 |
28.42 (+0.97) |
28.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
387.50 |
408.04 (+20.54) |
354.73 |
367.38 (+12.66) |
367.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.83 |
6.38 (+0.55) |
5.75 |
5.87 (+0.13) |
5.87 (+0.00) |
Defense (#91)
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.42 |
26.34 (-3.08) |
24.09 |
27.29 (+3.20) |
27.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
378.42 |
409.67 (+31.26) |
388.73 |
422.35 (+33.62) |
422.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.34 |
5.45 (+0.11) |
5.69 |
5.97 (+0.28) |
5.97 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Kansas |
29.10 |
31.31 |
+2.21 |
60.41 |
46.46% |
W 23-17 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Central Michigan |
38.37 |
16.80 |
-21.58 |
55.17 |
84.61% |
W 30-9 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Nebraska |
22.39 |
26.12 |
+3.72 |
48.51 |
44.03% |
W 31-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Penn State |
19.36 |
37.87 |
+18.51 |
57.23 |
20.31% |
L 7-21 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Purdue |
47.43 |
16.53 |
-30.90 |
63.96 |
99.57% |
W 50-49 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Michigan |
22.59 |
26.85 |
+4.26 |
49.44 |
43.16% |
W 21-7 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Oregon |
21.14 |
42.42 |
+21.28 |
63.56 |
15.88% |
L 9-38 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Minnesota |
23.37 |
26.28 |
+2.91 |
49.65 |
45.34% |
L 17-25 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Michigan State |
31.83 |
18.29 |
-13.55 |
50.12 |
71.73% |
W 38-16 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Rutgers |
30.85 |
30.58 |
-0.27 |
61.43 |
50.43% |
W 38-31 |
8-3 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Northwestern |
31.36 |
21.00 |
-10.36 |
52.36 |
66.61% |
W 38-28 |
9-3 |
| 2024-12-31 |
South Carolina |
20.97 |
35.19 |
+14.21 |
56.16 |
27.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
72.82% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 10-3 |
27.18% |
72.82% |
27.18% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.04% |
| 3-10 |
0.48% |
| 4-9 |
3.09% |
| 5-8 |
10.00% |
| 6-7 |
20.06% |
| 7-6 |
25.71% |
| 8-5 |
22.17% |
| 9-4 |
12.59% |
| 10-3 |
4.61% |
| 11-2 |
1.10% |
| 12-1 |
0.14% |
| 13-0 |
0.01% |