BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Buffalo 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Buffalo 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.82 |
22.43 (-6.39) |
19.45 |
14.14 (-5.31) |
14.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
342.00 |
296.89 (-45.11) |
300.45 |
260.58 (-39.87) |
260.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.39 |
3.58 (-0.81) |
4.49 |
3.82 (-0.67) |
3.82 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
33.07 (+6.79) |
26.27 |
33.87 (+7.59) |
33.87 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
357.45 |
403.90 (+46.44) |
353.82 |
425.59 (+71.77) |
425.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.72 |
6.45 (+0.73) |
5.94 |
6.67 (+0.72) |
6.67 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Wisconsin |
8.91 |
34.67 |
+25.76 |
43.57 |
8.69% |
L 17-38 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Fordham |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 37-40 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Liberty |
20.44 |
44.79 |
+24.36 |
65.23 |
10.94% |
L 27-55 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Louisiana |
20.10 |
35.86 |
+15.76 |
55.95 |
24.73% |
L 38-45 |
0-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Akron |
22.90 |
14.04 |
-8.86 |
36.94 |
64.20% |
W 13-10 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Central Michigan |
26.61 |
22.99 |
-3.63 |
49.60 |
55.82% |
W 37-13 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Bowling Green |
20.11 |
28.04 |
+7.94 |
48.15 |
37.27% |
L 14-24 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Kent State |
29.65 |
15.04 |
-14.61 |
44.68 |
73.43% |
W 24-6 |
3-5 |
| 2023-10-31 |
@Toledo |
16.29 |
34.97 |
+18.68 |
51.26 |
20.04% |
L 13-31 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-08 |
Ohio |
16.37 |
21.48 |
+5.12 |
37.85 |
41.79% |
L 10-20 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-16 |
@Miami (OH) |
11.25 |
24.69 |
+13.44 |
35.94 |
28.45% |
L 10-23 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-22 |
Eastern Michigan |
23.03 |
13.63 |
-9.39 |
36.66 |
65.07% |
L 11-24 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.18% |
| 2-10 |
1.94% |
| 3-9 |
8.14% |
| 4-8 |
19.00% |
| 5-7 |
26.69% |
| 6-6 |
24.00% |
| 7-5 |
13.69% |
| 8-4 |
5.02% |
| 9-3 |
1.17% |
| 10-2 |
0.17% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |