BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Liberty 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Liberty 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.91 |
24.81 (-4.10) |
40.77 |
36.63 (-4.14) |
36.63 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
408.00 |
378.51 (-29.49) |
512.23 |
477.35 (-34.88) |
477.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.70 |
5.29 (-0.42) |
7.44 |
7.16 (-0.28) |
7.16 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.36 |
32.20 (+6.84) |
22.69 |
29.99 (+7.30) |
29.99 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
346.82 |
392.99 (+46.17) |
352.08 |
413.50 (+61.43) |
413.50 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.17 |
5.64 (+0.47) |
5.59 |
6.16 (+0.58) |
6.16 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Bowling Green |
43.46 |
24.47 |
-18.99 |
67.93 |
80.46% |
W 34-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
New Mexico State |
38.07 |
22.46 |
-15.62 |
60.53 |
75.05% |
W 33-17 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Buffalo |
44.79 |
20.44 |
-24.36 |
65.23 |
89.06% |
W 55-27 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Florida International |
51.41 |
19.10 |
-32.30 |
70.51 |
99.90% |
W 38-6 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-05 |
Sam Houston State |
44.91 |
17.63 |
-27.28 |
62.54 |
93.76% |
W 21-16 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-10 |
@Jacksonville State |
38.42 |
26.72 |
-11.70 |
65.14 |
68.76% |
W 31-13 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-17 |
Middle Tennessee |
47.13 |
23.78 |
-23.35 |
70.91 |
87.46% |
W 42-35 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-24 |
@Western Kentucky |
43.78 |
31.64 |
-12.14 |
75.43 |
69.47% |
W 42-29 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Louisiana Tech |
54.72 |
22.77 |
-31.95 |
77.49 |
99.90% |
W 56-30 |
9-0 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Old Dominion |
42.35 |
22.22 |
-20.13 |
64.58 |
82.29% |
W 38-10 |
10-0 |
| 2023-11-18 |
UMass |
61.07 |
24.59 |
-36.49 |
85.66 |
99.90% |
W 49-25 |
11-0 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@UTEP |
42.51 |
19.80 |
-22.70 |
62.31 |
86.42% |
W 42-28 |
12-0 |
| 2023-12-02 |
New Mexico State |
38.07 |
22.46 |
-15.62 |
60.53 |
75.05% |
W 49-35 |
13-0 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2024-01-01 |
@Oregon |
16.69 |
51.34 |
+34.64 |
68.03 |
0.10% |
L 6-45 |
13-1 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 13-1 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 5-9 |
0.00% |
| 6-8 |
0.04% |
| 7-7 |
0.38% |
| 8-6 |
2.06% |
| 9-5 |
7.73% |
| 10-4 |
19.40% |
| 11-3 |
30.81% |
| 12-2 |
28.17% |
| 13-1 |
11.41% |