BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Louisiana 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Louisiana 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.27 |
23.80 (-3.47) |
31.73 |
26.09 (-5.64) |
26.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
366.82 |
349.53 (-17.29) |
395.36 |
369.59 (-25.77) |
369.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.22 |
4.91 (-0.31) |
6.34 |
5.98 (-0.36) |
5.98 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.27 |
29.34 (+5.07) |
29.55 |
35.14 (+5.59) |
35.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
371.27 |
408.38 (+37.11) |
388.18 |
428.82 (+40.64) |
428.82 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.37 |
5.84 (+0.47) |
5.51 |
6.02 (+0.52) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Northwestern State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-13 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Old Dominion |
27.85 |
28.49 |
+0.65 |
56.34 |
48.96% |
L 31-38 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@UAB |
42.82 |
36.01 |
-6.81 |
78.83 |
60.92% |
W 41-21 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Buffalo |
35.86 |
20.10 |
-15.76 |
55.95 |
75.27% |
W 45-38 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Minnesota |
25.92 |
35.12 |
+9.21 |
61.04 |
35.24% |
L 24-35 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Texas State |
41.39 |
35.98 |
-5.41 |
77.36 |
58.68% |
W 34-30 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-22 |
Georgia State |
33.84 |
28.65 |
-5.19 |
62.49 |
58.32% |
L 17-20 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@South Alabama |
24.67 |
37.47 |
+12.80 |
62.14 |
29.47% |
W 33-20 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Arkansas State |
34.18 |
32.62 |
-1.56 |
66.79 |
52.51% |
L 17-37 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-10 |
Southern Mississippi |
42.81 |
27.44 |
-15.37 |
70.25 |
74.65% |
L 31-34 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Troy |
15.66 |
35.17 |
+19.51 |
50.83 |
18.71% |
L 24-31 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Louisiana Monroe |
40.10 |
19.28 |
-20.81 |
59.38 |
83.39% |
W 52-21 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-16 |
Jacksonville State |
30.28 |
31.28 |
+1.00 |
61.56 |
48.39% |
L 31-34 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.06% |
| 3-10 |
0.53% |
| 4-9 |
2.58% |
| 5-8 |
7.92% |
| 6-7 |
16.56% |
| 7-6 |
23.49% |
| 8-5 |
23.29% |
| 9-4 |
15.93% |
| 10-3 |
7.21% |
| 11-2 |
2.06% |
| 12-1 |
0.34% |
| 13-0 |
0.03% |