BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Minnesota 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Minnesota 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.18 |
28.52 (+3.34) |
20.17 |
24.38 (+4.22) |
24.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
379.36 |
411.35 (+31.99) |
301.33 |
305.62 (+4.29) |
305.62 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.60 |
6.12 (+0.52) |
4.79 |
5.18 (+0.40) |
5.18 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
13.64 |
14.01 (+0.37) |
26.92 |
26.71 (-0.21) |
26.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
287.27 |
303.50 (+16.23) |
372.08 |
395.15 (+23.07) |
395.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.81 |
4.98 (+0.17) |
5.95 |
6.03 (+0.08) |
6.03 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-01 |
Nebraska |
18.19 |
18.74 |
+0.56 |
36.93 |
49.10% |
W 13-10 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Eastern Michigan |
33.75 |
9.18 |
-24.57 |
42.93 |
89.41% |
W 25-6 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@North Carolina |
25.20 |
40.70 |
+15.49 |
65.90 |
25.15% |
L 13-31 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Northwestern |
22.10 |
30.23 |
+8.12 |
52.33 |
36.97% |
L 34-37 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Louisiana |
35.12 |
25.92 |
-9.21 |
61.04 |
64.76% |
W 35-24 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Michigan |
10.36 |
42.92 |
+32.57 |
53.28 |
0.10% |
L 10-52 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Iowa |
9.19 |
21.35 |
+12.15 |
30.54 |
30.51% |
W 12-10 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Michigan State |
27.24 |
20.73 |
-6.51 |
47.97 |
60.44% |
W 27-12 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Illinois |
29.58 |
28.50 |
-1.07 |
58.08 |
51.72% |
L 26-27 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Purdue |
27.75 |
31.57 |
+3.83 |
59.32 |
43.86% |
L 30-49 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Ohio State |
5.12 |
40.81 |
+35.68 |
45.93 |
0.10% |
L 3-37 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Wisconsin |
20.16 |
25.27 |
+5.11 |
45.42 |
41.80% |
L 14-28 |
5-7 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-26 |
Bowling Green |
30.07 |
21.61 |
-8.46 |
51.69 |
63.57% |
W 30-24 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-13 |
0.01% |
| 1-12 |
0.25% |
| 2-11 |
1.88% |
| 3-10 |
6.74% |
| 4-9 |
15.68% |
| 5-8 |
23.64% |
| 6-7 |
24.35% |
| 7-6 |
16.84% |
| 8-5 |
7.86% |
| 9-4 |
2.33% |
| 10-3 |
0.39% |
| 11-2 |
0.04% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis