BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Northwestern 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Northwestern 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
12.82 |
19.62 (+6.80) |
22.73 |
28.12 (+5.39) |
28.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
331.36 |
381.88 (+50.52) |
304.45 |
324.45 (+19.99) |
324.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.51 |
5.13 (+0.62) |
4.73 |
5.30 (+0.57) |
5.30 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.09 |
24.20 (-3.89) |
24.18 |
24.31 (+0.13) |
24.31 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
376.36 |
356.37 (-20.00) |
348.64 |
378.91 (+30.28) |
378.91 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.64 |
5.26 (-0.37) |
5.35 |
5.47 (+0.12) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-03 |
@Rutgers |
21.25 |
25.62 |
+4.37 |
46.87 |
42.99% |
L 7-24 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
UTEP |
35.19 |
13.17 |
-22.01 |
48.36 |
85.31% |
W 38-7 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Duke |
19.33 |
31.66 |
+12.33 |
51.00 |
30.22% |
L 14-38 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Minnesota |
30.23 |
22.10 |
-8.12 |
52.33 |
63.03% |
W 37-34 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Penn State |
11.24 |
37.12 |
+25.87 |
48.36 |
8.50% |
L 13-41 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Howard |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 23-20 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Nebraska |
18.23 |
18.55 |
+0.32 |
36.78 |
49.48% |
L 9-17 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Maryland |
26.47 |
32.07 |
+5.60 |
58.53 |
41.02% |
W 33-27 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Iowa |
13.38 |
16.73 |
+3.35 |
30.12 |
44.63% |
L 7-10 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Wisconsin |
20.59 |
25.38 |
+4.80 |
45.97 |
42.31% |
W 24-10 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Purdue |
33.46 |
27.65 |
-5.81 |
61.11 |
59.32% |
W 23-15 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Illinois |
30.34 |
28.52 |
-1.82 |
58.86 |
52.92% |
W 45-43 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-24 |
Utah |
14.89 |
25.35 |
+10.46 |
40.24 |
33.22% |
W 14-7 |
8-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.03% |
| 2-11 |
0.39% |
| 3-10 |
2.29% |
| 4-9 |
7.47% |
| 5-8 |
16.11% |
| 6-7 |
23.30% |
| 7-6 |
23.13% |
| 8-5 |
16.36% |
| 9-4 |
7.75% |
| 10-3 |
2.57% |
| 11-2 |
0.55% |
| 12-1 |
0.05% |
| 13-0 |
0.00% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis