BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Virginia 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Virginia 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
15.11 |
17.40 (+2.29) |
22.91 |
26.77 (+3.86) |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
326.11 |
341.39 (+15.28) |
355.45 |
375.61 (+20.16) |
375.61 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.84 |
5.07 (+0.23) |
5.10 |
5.47 (+0.37) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.78 |
24.96 (+0.18) |
35.64 |
30.52 (-5.12) |
30.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
361.11 |
345.82 (-15.29) |
426.36 |
381.89 (-44.48) |
381.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.99 |
4.71 (-0.27) |
6.28 |
5.74 (-0.53) |
5.74 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Tennessee |
18.51 |
42.38 |
+23.87 |
60.90 |
11.71% |
L 13-49 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
James Madison |
25.41 |
35.90 |
+10.49 |
61.31 |
33.17% |
L 35-36 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-15 |
@Maryland |
23.51 |
41.67 |
+18.16 |
65.18 |
20.87% |
L 14-42 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-22 |
NC State |
21.59 |
31.85 |
+10.25 |
53.44 |
33.56% |
L 21-24 |
0-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Boston College |
30.81 |
32.09 |
+1.28 |
62.89 |
47.95% |
L 24-27 |
0-5 |
| 2023-10-07 |
William & Mary |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 27-13 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@North Carolina |
27.64 |
45.43 |
+17.79 |
73.07 |
21.47% |
W 31-27 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Miami |
20.74 |
40.09 |
+19.36 |
60.83 |
18.96% |
L 26-29 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Georgia Tech |
32.45 |
37.68 |
+5.23 |
70.13 |
41.62% |
L 17-45 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-10 |
@Louisville |
16.58 |
39.43 |
+22.85 |
56.02 |
13.35% |
L 24-31 |
2-8 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Duke |
21.24 |
35.08 |
+13.84 |
56.32 |
27.80% |
W 30-27 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Virginia Tech |
28.02 |
35.23 |
+7.21 |
63.25 |
38.43% |
L 17-55 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
2.28% |
| 2-10 |
10.92% |
| 3-9 |
22.16% |
| 4-8 |
27.45% |
| 5-7 |
21.10% |
| 6-6 |
10.89% |
| 7-5 |
4.06% |
| 8-4 |
0.96% |
| 9-3 |
0.16% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |