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Tennessee 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Tennessee 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 45.73 53.42 (+7.69) 31.64 35.55 (+3.92) 35.55 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 523.73 593.01 (+69.28) 453.73 491.41 (+37.69) 491.41 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 7.34 8.24 (+0.91) 6.59 7.13 (+0.54) 7.13 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 23.45 18.76 (-4.70) 22.82 18.46 (-4.35) 18.46 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 399.36 377.45 (-21.92) 349.64 337.75 (-11.88) 337.75 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.34 4.95 (-0.39) 5.19 4.76 (-0.43) 4.76 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Virginia 42.38 18.51 -23.87 60.90 88.29% W 49-13 1-0
2023-09-09 Austin Peay Non-FBS Opponent W 30-13 2-0
2023-09-16 @Florida 31.74 25.12 -6.62 56.86 60.61% L 16-29 2-1
2023-09-23 UT San Antonio 40.83 17.70 -23.13 58.53 87.09% W 45-14 3-1
2023-09-30 South Carolina 31.27 20.09 -11.18 51.36 67.92% W 41-20 4-1
2023-10-14 Texas A&M 28.18 27.51 -0.67 55.68 51.07% W 20-13 5-1
2023-10-21 @Alabama 17.35 30.84 +13.49 48.18 28.36% L 20-34 5-2
2023-10-28 @Kentucky 33.14 26.60 -6.53 59.74 60.48% W 33-27 6-2
2023-11-04 Connecticut 44.81 7.28 -37.53 52.09 99.90% W 59-3 7-2
2023-11-11 @Missouri 22.23 29.73 +7.50 51.95 37.97% L 7-36 7-3
2023-11-18 Georgia 21.54 30.73 +9.19 52.26 35.26% L 10-38 7-4
2023-11-25 Vanderbilt 47.37 16.59 -30.78 63.96 99.37% W 48-24 8-4
Postseason
2024-01-01 Iowa 18.15 11.89 -6.26 30.05 60.05% W 35-0 9-4

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
9-4 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
3-10 0.00%
4-9 0.11%
5-8 0.93%
6-7 4.63%
7-6 13.24%
8-5 23.46%
9-4 27.03%
10-3 19.45%
11-2 8.76%
12-1 2.16%
13-0 0.23%