BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Alabama 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Alabama 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
41.36 |
46.54 (+5.18) |
32.50 |
37.32 (+4.82) |
37.32 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
471.00 |
493.36 (+22.36) |
387.08 |
413.60 (+26.52) |
413.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.79 |
7.24 (+0.45) |
6.06 |
6.62 (+0.55) |
6.62 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.64 |
12.38 (-7.26) |
19.08 |
11.66 (-7.42) |
11.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.91 |
258.57 (-62.34) |
320.00 |
267.38 (-52.62) |
267.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.53 |
3.75 (-0.78) |
5.02 |
4.18 (-0.84) |
4.18 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Middle Tennessee |
47.06 |
7.70 |
-39.36 |
54.76 |
99.90% |
W 56-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Texas |
21.53 |
21.50 |
-0.02 |
43.03 |
50.04% |
L 24-34 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@South Florida |
55.07 |
12.83 |
-42.25 |
67.90 |
99.90% |
W 17-3 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Ole Miss |
32.31 |
17.23 |
-15.08 |
49.55 |
74.19% |
W 24-10 |
3-1 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Mississippi State |
32.15 |
10.93 |
-21.22 |
43.09 |
84.04% |
W 40-17 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Texas A&M |
27.41 |
21.81 |
-5.59 |
49.22 |
58.97% |
W 26-20 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Arkansas |
40.32 |
11.53 |
-28.79 |
51.85 |
96.17% |
W 24-21 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Tennessee |
30.84 |
17.35 |
-13.49 |
48.18 |
71.64% |
W 34-20 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-04 |
LSU |
40.60 |
28.82 |
-11.78 |
69.42 |
68.90% |
W 42-28 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Kentucky |
34.27 |
18.67 |
-15.61 |
52.94 |
75.03% |
W 49-21 |
9-1 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Chattanooga |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 66-10 |
10-1 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Auburn |
25.43 |
15.05 |
-10.37 |
40.48 |
66.64% |
W 27-24 |
11-1 |
| 2023-12-02 |
Georgia |
24.60 |
21.47 |
-3.13 |
46.06 |
55.02% |
W 27-24 |
12-1 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2024-01-01 |
@Michigan |
15.24 |
26.33 |
+11.09 |
41.58 |
32.21% |
L 20-27 |
12-2 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 12-2 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-10 |
0.00% |
| 5-9 |
0.05% |
| 6-8 |
0.49% |
| 7-7 |
2.36% |
| 8-6 |
7.87% |
| 9-5 |
17.35% |
| 10-4 |
25.39% |
| 11-3 |
25.01% |
| 12-2 |
15.32% |
| 13-1 |
5.38% |
| 14-0 |
0.77% |